MONKE is currently buoyed by a recovery in macro liquidity and the popularity of meme tokens, potentially creating short-term trading rebound opportunities. However, trading volume and fee growth remain sluggish, and deep liquidity is lacking—structural risks remain unresolved. Short-term trading participation is advised, with focus on the resistance area between 0.26—0.31. Avoid chasing highs unless sustained volume follows; position size should not exceed 15% of total assets, and strict stop-losses are recommended to guard against secondary downside risks.

Overall market liquidity has improved this week, with a notable short-term injection of capital leading to price stabilization and rebounds in certain micro-periods. However, trading volume and fees show that bullish momentum has yet to create sustained expansion. There remains a structural bearish outlook in the macro cycle. For medium- to long-term holders, caution is essential; position management is needed to prevent downside risks.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Recently, several meme coins have experienced explosive growth, sharply increasing market attention to small-cap tokens. With support from communities and asset management firms, MONKE stands to benefit from positive sentiment in the short term. As the market’s appetite for high-risk, high-reward assets rises, MONKE’s trading activity and premium expectations may increase concurrently.

Key market insights from January 4th highlight major movements in the crypto space: Jupiter co-founder considers halting JUP buybacks, with community suggesting rewards for long-term holders; Solana's meme coin WOULD briefly surpassed $100 million market cap before settling at $85 million; meme coins BONK and MYX surged over 31% and 61% respectively; BSC's Hakimi market cap rose to $40 million. Additionally, notable articles discuss a failed US raid on Venezuela's Maduro and key events shaping the 2026 market outlook.

Key market insights from January 4th, how much did you miss?

Across the broader crypto market, liquidity in short-term contract and speculative markets remains generally low, with trading depth concentrated in a few leading contracts. If MONKE faces large trade orders in such an environment, it is highly prone to slippage and sharp price volatility. Investors should watch order book depth closely and set strict stop-losses in anticipation of potential large sell-offs.

Market-wide trading volume and fee levels have not significantly expanded. While short-term volume gains have driven price rebounds, there is a lack of continuous volume breakouts—bulls and bears remain in stalemate technically. Investors should closely track changes in volume and fees; if persistent bullish volume growth does not materialize, caution is warranted, as rebound potential may be limited.

Monke

Hassett: It's time for Powell to leave the Federal Reserve.

Here’s why the crypto market is falling today

Lagarde speech: Interest rates best tool we can use

The Fed’s PCE Data Used to Measure Inflation Has Been Released! Here’s Bitcoin’s (BTC) Initial Reaction!

Lagarde speech: Debated at length a hike

Lagarde discussed various options, including the possibility of an interest rate hike.

The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge rose to its highest level in nearly three years

The US GDP is expected to grow by 2% in early 2026, indicating economic resilience.

After the release of U.S. economic data, the probability expectation of an interest rate hike slightly increased.

US Q1 GDP price index preliminary reading at 3.6%, expected 3.8%

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