Recently, USDUT has been supported at low levels and is expected to see a technical rebound, driven by a short-term recovery in liquidity. It is recommended to pay attention to short-term opportunities around the 1.0000—1.0020 range. However, there have been no substantial improvements in mid- to long-term capital structure and liquidity indicators, internal competition pressures remain, and the selling pressure has not been fully digested. If the liquidity recovery fails to sustain, be alert to the possibility of prices testing the 0.9980—0.9990 support zone again. It is advisable to focus on short-term participation, while maintaining caution in the mid- to long-term.

Recently, the USDC/USDT premium has turned from negative to positive, reflecting increased demand for stablecoins and easing overall selling pressure. This improvement in liquidity corresponds with changes in short-term capital flows, forming support for USDUT at low levels. The narrowing price fluctuation range shows that both bulls and bears are adopting a wait-and-see attitude in the short term, with bulls likely to initiate a technical rebound leveraging the liquidity advantage.

Although short-term sentiment is bullish, in the mid- to long-term, the market has entered a phase of internal competition; capital flows and liquidity indicators suggest that trend-based selling pressure persists. If subsequent liquidity cannot continue to recover, there is a risk that prices will retest low-level supports. Caution is needed as a weak and volatile mid- to long-term pattern may continue.

Unstable Tether

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