ALPHA benefits from current policy dividends and medium- to long-term capital allocation preferences, with outstanding advantages in ecological governance and application scenarios. Boosted by short-term sentiment and structural technical resonance, the price runs above critical moving averages, with strong short-term upward volatility momentum. Pay attention to support and upside strength in the 0.145~0.160 range. It is recommended to build positions on pullbacks, moderately increase allocation as the center shifts upward, while being mindful of short-term volatility risks and position management if trends break down.

The latest year-end report points out that global policies have shifted from narrative-driven to the main driving force of markets, resulting in shorter cycles for sustained effective rallies. Against this backdrop, investors pay greater attention to project fundamentals and policy alignment. As an ecological governance token, ALPHA's value capture ability will be highlighted during the period of policy dividends, with medium- to long-term capital preferring assets boasting clear application scenarios and governance functions.

Bitget's "2025 Global Market Year-End Review" highlights 2025 as a turning point where policy became the main source of Alpha. The report notes a shorter validity period for narrative-driven markets and emphasizes the importance of diversified asset allocation in a volatile environment. It reviews market changes across the macro environment, crypto, US stocks, and commodities.

Bitget 2025 Global Market Year-End Review: Policy Becomes the Biggest Source of Alpha, Diversified Asset Allocation Returns to the Main Theme

Signs of market improvement are emerging, with sentiment recovering from previous lows and marginally stronger bullish momentum in digital assets. As Bitcoin and Ethereum rise, ALPHA's price oscillates upward above key short-term moving averages, with 4-hour averages showing a bullish alignment and relative uptick in volume. Overall, short-term technicals confirm a bullish rhythm, but attention is needed for the strength of support if the trend pulls back after confirmation.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Institutions are gradually increasing their attention to the crypto market, with options data indicating a rise in long positions and active long-short straddle strategies, reflecting bets on future volatility. The Asian market performs strongly and is linked with macro events, elevating overall risk appetite. This structural bullish atmosphere is likely to drive high short-term volatility for ALPHA, but caution is needed regarding the potential for short-term hedging and retracement.

AlphaArc

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 95%, and in July it is 87.9%.

Crypto Markets Catch a Breath After Three-Day Slide

Key Reason Why New Fed Chair Might Be Bearish for Bitcoin

Yen Surges After Japan Steps In as Markets Face Pressure

Bitcoin Reverses 3-Day Slide, Climbs Past $76K Despite $75M Long Liquidations

Behind Powell’s High-Stakes Decision to Stay at the Fed

Asian FX: Oil shock and Fed stance pressure – OCBC

Hassett says Powell’s reappointment could delay Fed rate cuts, with crypto watching closely

U.S. PCE Inflation Rises to 3-Year High, Bitcoin Slides

US Treasury yields spike to highest levels in a year, adding a new problem for Bitcoin liquidity.

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