BAT is currently in a critical area of long-short struggle. Driven by a strong rebound in Bitcoin, its short-term performance is active but still constrained by liquidity divergence. Technical analysis shows the $0.102–0.107 range as the main battleground. Breaking above $0.106 is expected to challenge the $0.110 resistance; losing $0.102 requires vigilance for a pullback to $0.098. Considering on-chain capital data and futures sentiment, it is recommended to adopt a cautious but slightly bullish allocation, paying attention to steady inflows of stablecoins and ongoing improvement in overall risk appetite. Structural medium-to-long term increases can be made moderately at dips, while short-term operations should focus on trading the range.

Recently, Bitcoin climbed back above $75,000, meanwhile facing resistance at $78,000, and the market shows clear disagreement about its subsequent direction. The strong breakout has boosted bullish confidence and a leap seems to be forming, but concerns remain due to limited macro liquidity and reliance on short-term bullish coverage. Such sentiment fluctuations usually produce positive spillover effects for tokens with smaller market caps, thereby driving BAT’s short-term price activity.

Bitcoin recently surpassed $75,000 for the first time in 73 days, facing resistance near $78,000 with $74,000 seen as a critical support level for further gains. Market views diverge: bears cite weak macro liquidity and reliance on short-covering, while bulls highlight strong whale accumulation and potential breakthroughs above key moving averages. The broader market shows mixed signals amid geopolitical developments and fluctuating investor sentiment.

Trading moment: BTC encountered resistance at 78K, and it needs to hold 74K to aim for a breakthrough.

On-chain data shows increased volume and a mounting battle between buyers and sellers, with net spot flows turning negative. In addition, a decline in funding rates for futures long positions suggests lower demand for downside protection, but overall risk appetite has not fully recovered. Meanwhile, the rising supply of stablecoins signals preliminary liquidity improvement, which—if sustained—could provide continuous buying support for BAT.

Glassnode's latest report highlights intensified market tug-of-war with spot CVD turning negative, indicating increased selling pressure and emerging bearish sentiment. Futures show rising risk appetite but declining long funding rates, reflecting growing bearishness. Options suggest reduced downside protection demand and neutralizing volatility. Meanwhile, US spot ETFs see rising MVRV and inflows, boosting investor interest and supporting cautious optimism amid stable long-term holder confidence.

Glassnode: Market bullish and bearish struggles intensify, spot CVD turns negative indicating increased selling pressure, but ETF inflows provide support.

Since October last year, Bitcoin has been in a prolonged adjustment phase due to weak liquidity and limited new capital inflows, with Tether's market cap hovering around $183 billion. Recently, Tether's circulation increased by about $3 billion, signaling a recovery in stablecoin market cap and improved market liquidity. Although still in early stages, these positive liquidity signals may precede price gains and could support Bitcoin prices if sustained in the coming weeks.

BIT: Signs of market liquidity recovery are emerging, but it is still in the early stages.

On the daily chart, BAT rebounded rapidly from the $0.0969 level since April 16, reaching as high as $0.10699 before retreating and stabilizing near $0.102. The recent close at $0.1048 accompanied by shrinking volume suggests a tug-of-war between bulls and bears in the $0.102–0.107 zone. If BAT holds above $0.106 in the short term, it is expected to test resistance at $0.110; if it breaks below $0.102, further pullback to $0.098 should be watched out for.

Short-term, cost pressures of existing holders have eased significantly and stop-loss selling has subsided, but a clear sign of full risk appetite returning has not yet appeared. In the medium term, attention must remain on whether the market truly enters a phase of risk reopening. If stablecoin liquidity continues to recover and delivers solid incremental funds, BAT is expected to gain more recognition in medium-to-long-term value, and its structural opportunities are worth patiently seizing.

Basic Attention

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BAT price today is 0.11, with a live price change of 1.64 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade BAT on Bybit-eu.

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