HFT experienced high-level oscillation after breaking through $0.015, currently facing resistance in the $0.015–$0.0159 range, with $0.015 and $0.0145 forming key support levels. The short-term trend heavily depends on changes in trading volume. Boosted by spot Bitcoin buying, market risk appetite has staged a short-term recovery; if BTC undergoes a pullback, HFT will face increased downward pressure as well. In the mid- to long-term, institutional allocation and sustained accumulation by large holders provide liquidity support for the token’s valuation. If the macro environment remains stable, HFT is expected to maintain strength, but investors should remain alert to systemic retracement risks caused by macro tightening and unexpected geopolitical events. It is recommended to closely monitor trading volume, whether the $0.015 support can hold, and changes in macro policy expectations, control short-term downside risk, and seize opportunities for range breakouts.

From the daily chart, HFT entered a bullish rhythm after a sharp surge on April 2, with the price quickly rising from $0.0124 to a peak of $0.0157, accompanied by three consecutive long bullish candles and increased volume, indicating strong bullish momentum. Recently, after reaching a high of $0.0159, trading volume has shrunk and a short-term upper shadow has formed, with price facing resistance in the $0.0157–$0.0159 region, and $0.015 acting as support. In the short term, attention should be paid to whether $0.015 and the dense trading area near $0.0145 can hold. If consolidation persists and volume increases, an upward trend may continue; if volume does not support, price may fall back to seek support around $0.014.

Recently, Bitcoin rebounded to around $75,000 during Asian trading hours, mainly led by spot buying, while the derivatives market maintains a cautious stance. This scenario indicates risk appetite has partially recovered but has not fully rebounded yet. The surge seen after major risk assets and technology sectors corrected closely aligns with HFT's recent follow-up rebound. The market remains cautious on short-term sentiment; if underlying assets see a rapid pullback, HFT may undergo simultaneous adjustment.

Bitcoin rose to around $74,935 during the Asian session, up 0.7% in 24 hours and 5.4% weekly, driven mainly by spot buying rather than broad risk appetite. Derivatives markets show caution: perpetual contract funding rates remain negative, open interest declines, and options indicate higher demand for downside protection. This suggests a rebound, not a trend reversal, amid ongoing risk aversion and cautious sentiment despite gains.

Analysis: Bitcoin strengthens along with US stocks, but the options market still bets on downside risk.

Tech stocks surged, driving the Nasdaq and S&P 500 to record highs amid optimism over easing US-Iran tensions. The Nasdaq rose 1.59% to 24,016.02, and the S&P 500 increased 0.8% to 7,022.95. Bitcoin briefly hit $75,229, up 1.07% in 24 hours and nearly 10% over two weeks. Fundstrat's Tom Lee suggests the next rally may be led by Bitcoin, Ether, and tech stocks.

Analysis: Tech stocks rally drives US stocks to new highs, Bitcoin hits $75,000

Bitcoin recently surpassed $75,000 for the first time in 73 days, facing resistance near $78,000 with $74,000 seen as a critical support level for further gains. Market views diverge: bears cite weak macro liquidity and reliance on short-covering, while bulls highlight strong whale accumulation and potential breakthroughs above key moving averages. The broader market shows mixed signals amid geopolitical developments and fluctuating investor sentiment.

Trading moment: BTC encountered resistance at 78K, and it needs to hold 74K to aim for a breakthrough.

With macro risks easing and institutions showing increased willingness to allocate to crypto assets, continuous inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and increased holdings by large investors provide a stable funding source for the entire digital asset market. Although HFT itself is not directly linked to ETF products, improved market liquidity and a bullish long-term outlook also help enhance expectations for HFT's ecological applications and demand. If macro liquidity persists, mid- to long-term capital may continue to deploy into HFT, supporting token valuation.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

On one hand, a potential hawkish shift by the Federal Reserve may intensify liquidity tightening risks; on the other hand, geopolitical tensions and regulatory moves related to stablecoins remain variable, all of which could trigger concentrated outbreaks of market risk aversion. If systemic liquidity shocks or sharp retracement of risk assets occur, HFT may face downward pressure or even accelerated decline in the short term. It is crucial to monitor macro data and regulatory developments for their sudden effects on market sentiment.

Hashflow

Gold: Inflation and Fed risks cap upside – ING

ECB: Lagarde Signals No Near-Term Rate Move – Danske Bank

Nikkei: Bank of Japan to hold rates steady in April

Fed Chair Nominee Kevin Warsh Vows Fed Independence Despite Trump’s Push for Rate Cuts

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April has reached 100%.

US Treasuries are still pricing in a war in the Middle East that other asset classes have shrugged off, setting up a drop in yields as they catch up, according to Bank of America.

Lagarde: Broad fiscal support will force the European Central Bank to raise key interest rates.

Iran accuses US of attacking commercial vessel, escalating Strait tensions

Pentagon reports 415 US troops wounded in Iran, indicating ground involvement

US seizes MV Touska in Hormuz, linked to Iranian missile shipments

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