Recently, there has been a rebound in market risk appetite. Combined with the support from mainstream tokens, IO has received short-term sentiment support. However, the low trading volume indicates that capital inflow has not yet been sufficient, raising concerns about the sustainability of the trend. Due to futures short position liquidation and rising funding costs, IO faced resistance at $0.14, pulling back to a wide fluctuation range of $0.115–$0.12, reflecting intense trading interest among investors. Security incidents in the industry and a reshuffle in the DeFi ecosystem have shifted market preference towards compliant projects, positioning IO at a value bottom formation stage. It is recommended to continuously monitor changes in overall market liquidity and signals of a new round of capital inflow. If IO holds support at $0.12 with a resurgence in volume, short- to mid-term positioning and profit-taking at higher levels may be considered.

Recently, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded over $820 million in net inflows for the fourth consecutive week, while Bitcoin and Ethereum prices rose approximately 2% and 3%, respectively. The Fear & Greed Index climbed from 29 to 47, indicating a shift toward neutral optimism. Several central banks are closely assessing the impact of geopolitical tensions on the economy, and although interest rates are likely to remain unchanged, the improved risk appetite is driving a recovery in liquidity across the digital asset sector. As a representative of small and mid-cap tokens, IO has gained short-term sentiment support in this environment. However, with trading volumes continuing to decline in the past two days, capital inflow has not been comprehensive. It remains necessary to watch whether the overall market can sustain bullish momentum.

The Bitcoin futures market has undergone massive short liquidations and deleveraging, with open interest dropping from 319,000 BTC to 293,000 BTC, signaling the end of a systematic short-term squeeze. At the same time, the cost of short positions has surged to high levels of 11%–19%, intensifying capital disagreements over price direction. Although IO saw a temporary sharp rally at the mid-month high, accompanied by increased trading volumes, it was followed by profit-taking. The price fell from above $0.14 to near $0.12, displaying wide-ranging fluctuations under the contest between deleveraging and high short costs.

Since the security incident at KelpDAO, audit and risk controls in the DeFi sector have attracted renewed attention. Meanwhile, the Hong Kong Web3 Conference emphasized that the industry is entering a phase of deep engagement and differentiation, which will filter out speculative capital. Against this backdrop, IO attempted to break through the $0.13–$0.14 range twice on April 24 and 25, but quickly pulled back, oscillating and bottoming within the $0.115–$0.12 region. This indicates that capital is shifting toward more robust projects and protocols. As the shakeout deepens, projects with compliance and security advantages are likely to achieve long-term value recovery.

io.net

Global news you need to know before the US stock market opens on Wednesday.

Fed: Neutral stance into April FOMC – TD Securities

Bitcoin (BTC) and Markets Focus on the Critical FED Interest Rate Decision! What Time Will It Be Announced? Here Are the Expectations and Everything...

GBP/USD: Iran shock risk for the UK – BNY

Mitsubishi UFJ: If the Federal Reserve emphasizes inflation risks, the US dollar may rise.

Gold: Rising oil clouds Fed easing hopes – OCBC

The market is focused on the Federal Reserve's assessment of rising inflation and its policy path.

Reminder: Please pay close attention to the following (all times are in Beijing time).

Australia’s inflation remained above the Reserve Bank’s 2-3% target band as higher fuel costs from Middle East supply disruptions compounded already-elevated price pressures to keep policymakers on a tightening path.

Uncertainty around the economic outlook and a leadership transition at the US central bank loom large over this week’s meeting of Federal Reserve officials, who are expected to leave interest rates unchanged on Wednesday.

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