Recently, ALICE has been fueled by the easing of geopolitical risks and the strong performance of the AI technology sector, attracting significant short-term capital inflows. After dramatic price fluctuations, the asset is now consolidating at high levels, reflecting a strong bullish sentiment. However, macroeconomic and structural signals have yet to turn clear, with risks of price-volume divergence and overbought conditions coexisting. Strategy suggestion: Pay attention to the $0.145–$0.165 consolidation range. If ALICE can hold above and break out with volume at $0.165, the strong trend is likely to continue; conversely, a drop below $0.144 may trigger an accelerated correction, so it is advisable to flexibly adjust positions and prioritize managing volatility risk.

On April 18, the ALICEUSDT contract experienced a massive surge, with daily trading volume exceeding $220 million, far surpassing the previous average of $6 million per day. The price spiked from $0.126 to a high of $0.261, indicating that bullish sentiment fully dominated in the short term. On the same day, global risk assets generally strengthened as ceasefire expectations in the Middle East rose and progress in US-Iran nuclear talks put pressure on oil prices, prompting funds to flow back into high-risk markets. As a mid- and small-cap digital asset, ALICE was highly responsive to this shift in overall risk appetite, experiencing significant short-term upside.

During the same period, the AI sector rose by over 12% within 24 hours, lifting the overall market and driving broad-based gains for various theme tokens, with short-term sector rotation trends emerging. Analysis of capital flows and distribution of gains shows that investor attention to growth sectors is spreading to small- and mid-cap tokens with potential use cases. The rapid climb in ALICE's long-short ratio, resonating with mainstream assets and tech themes, highlighted its overweighting opportunity in this relay rally.

The crypto market sector saw widespread gains, with the AI sector leading with a 12.48% increase in 24 hours. Notably, Siren (SIREN) rose 92.70%, and SkyAI (SKYAI) increased by 32.37%. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) fell 0.14%, remaining near $74,000, and Ethereum (ETH) dropped 1.12%, falling just above $2,300.

The cryptocurrency market sector broadly rose, with the AI sector leading gains of over 12%.

Amid rising price and volume, market experts point out the current lack of clear direction, warning that bullish momentum could sharply retreat with macro volatility. ALICE formed a long upper shadow the day after its massive spike, signaling short-term overbought conditions. If market liquidity changes, a rapid correction risk may emerge; thus, traders should watch the crucial support at $0.144 and monitor long-short divergence.

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes states the crypto market is currently in a "no-trade zone," with his fund Maelstrom making almost no trades in Q1 due to lack of clear direction. He warns AI will disrupt white-collar jobs, causing deflationary financial collapse, while tensions in the Hormuz Strait amid US-Iran conflict are key market variables. Hayes outlines three scenarios involving war outcomes, AI impact, and shifts in global financial and energy systems.

Arthur Hayes: The crypto market is currently in a "no-trade zone," with the AI unemployment wave and the situation in the Strait of Hormuz as key variables.

Since the post-April 20 peak retracement, ALICE has fluctuated within the $0.145–$0.165 range, with tightening and shrinking trading volume. During this period, Bitcoin repeatedly found a short-term bottom around $75,000, and mainstream assets showed a balanced long-short stance; ALICE similarly entered a consolidation phase. If the price can stabilize in this range and break out with volume, the previous trend may continue; otherwise, beware of further pullbacks if the lower boundary support is breached.

Bitcoin recently surpassed $75,000 for the first time in 73 days, facing resistance near $78,000 with $74,000 seen as a critical support level for further gains. Market views diverge: bears cite weak macro liquidity and reliance on short-covering, while bulls highlight strong whale accumulation and potential breakthroughs above key moving averages. The broader market shows mixed signals amid geopolitical developments and fluctuating investor sentiment.

Trading moment: BTC encountered resistance at 78K, and it needs to hold 74K to aim for a breakthrough.

My Neighbor Alice

FED Interest Rate Decision Is Coming Up – Will Rates Drop or Stay the Same? Here Are the Latest Projections

BoE: MPC Maintains a Cautious Stance – Rabobank

Euro-zone inflation probably jumped in April to the highest in 2 1/2 years as fallout from the Iran war squeezed economies across the currency area

USD/JPY: Supported but capped below 160 – DBS

The U.S. Attorney for Washington, D.C.: Will stop the investigation into Powell's Federal Reserve building costs.

The final value of the one-year inflation rate expectation in the US for April is 4.7%.

Bank of Canada to hold interest rates this year, show patience with energy inflation: Reuters poll

ECB: Rate hike call pushed to June – Rabobank

Economists raised their estimates for US inflation and said they expect only one Federal Reserve interest-rate cut this year amid elevated energy costs sparked by the Iran war.

The central bank and eight other departments: Prohibit providing online marketing services for virtual currency issuance and trading.

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My Neighbor Alice Price: ALICE Live Price Today | ALICE Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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ALICE price today is 0.15, with a live price change of 1.37 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade ALICE on Bybit-eu.

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