SPURDO analysis emphasizes that in the short term, under the backdrop of overall liquidity easing and a rebound in market risk appetite, its token has allocation value—especially near key support levels, presenting opportunities to capture sentiment-driven rebound. The suggested short-term strategy is to enter in batches within the current consolidation range, with strict take-profit and stop-loss rules. For the medium to long term, attention should be given to the governance mechanism and ecosystem development to enhance upward valuation elasticity, demonstrating long-term investment value. Increased stablecoin activity boosts capital supply, and the rise in altcoins improves market sentiment, both providing stronger potential return support for SPURDO.

As the market digests expectations of a potential Fed rate cut, Bitcoin volatility has remained around 7%, and institutional capital continues to deploy, while ETF inflows have significantly elevated overall risk appetite. In this environment, the solid performance of major coins has resulted in a relatively ample supply of capital for the secondary market, and in the short term, small and mid-cap tokens are likely to benefit from the rebound in risk appetite.

From June 9 to June 16, Bitcoin experienced fluctuations between approximately $110,530 and $102,664, with a volatility of around 7.12%. The market is closely watching the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision, with expectations of a potential rate cut in September. Despite geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin's resilience is noted, attributed to institutional accumulation and ETF inflows. The market is transitioning from a speculative phase to one driven by long-term value storage, indicating a structural shift in ownership dynamics.

Week 23 On-chain Data: How do ETFs and on-chain whales rewrite the supply and demand rules for BTC?

Recently, stablecoin-related sectors have surged repeatedly in the A-share market, with multiple stocks hitting their upper limit, reflecting a notable increase in investor demand for robust digital assets. This phenomenon highlights greater investor focus on the hedging attributes of digital currencies and helps provide liquidity support for higher-risk token markets.

1. Overall trend: The A-share market opened lower and rebounded throughout the day, with the three major indices rising slightly. Most individual stocks gained, with over 3,400 stocks in Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing turning red; today's trading volume reached 1.24 trillion. By the close, the Shanghai Composite rose 0.35%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased 0.41%, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.66%.  
2. Industry sectors: Stablecoins, oil and gas, IP economy, and 3D printing sectors led the gains, while precious metals, military industry, medical and healthcare, and civil aviation airports sectors saw declines.  
3. Popular concepts: Stablecoin concept stocks surged again, with more than ten stocks including Hang Seng Electronics, Sifang Jingchuang, Hengbao Shares, and Hailian Jinhui hitting the daily limit. Oil and gas stocks surged then pulled back; stocks like Shandong Molong, Zhunyou Shares, Beiken Energy, and Taishan Petroleum hit the limit-up. The IP economy concept continued its strong momentum, driving branches like 3D printing to perform well, with Yuanlong Yatu, Disu Fashion, Golden Orange, and Haizheng Shengcai hitting the daily limit.

The Shanghai Composite Index rebounded with a decrease in volume, rising by 0.35%, while stablecoin concept stocks surged again.

On June 23, data from Tonghuashun revealed that stablecoin-related stocks were active in the A-share market. The top six stocks on Tonghuashun's hot list in the past hour were all related to stablecoins, including Hengbao Co., Sifang Jingchuang, Annie Co., Chutianlong, Dongxin He Ping, and Lakala, with daily gains of 9.39%, 14.28%, 9.97%, 9.04%, 2.49%, and 11.59%, respectively.

Data: The top 6 stocks in the recent 1-hour hot list on Tonghuashun are all related to stablecoin concepts.

Small-cap projects represented by Spark have achieved gains of over 15% within 24 hours, with market cap breaking above the $80 million mark. This demonstrates the excess return characteristics of small-cap tokens in the early stage of market revival. During cycles of shifting hot topics, such projects often lead trading volume and market attention, accumulating momentum for further upside.

Spark (SPK) has surpassed a market capitalization of $80 million, currently reported at $81.4 million, with a 24-hour increase of 15.72%, according to GMGN market data.

The market capitalization of SPK surpasses $80 million, with a 24-hour increase of over 15%.

In the context of overall liquidity easing and a rebound in risk appetite, SPURDO could experience a sentiment-driven rebound in the short term, with allocation value particularly near key support levels. However, for the long term, it is necessary to pay attention to fundamental factors such as governance mechanisms, ecosystem incentives, and community activity, which determine the project's viability and valuation elasticity in a structural bull market.

- Short-term strategy: Can enter in batches within the consolidation zone and set strict take-profit and stop-loss rules;
- Mid- to long-term strategy: If goals for ecosystem expansion and user growth can be sustained, its value storage attribute will be significantly enhanced.

Spurdo Spärde

Key Events This Week Could Shake Bitcoin and Crypto Markets

US consumer inflation expected to have increased further in April amid Iran war

Bank of Japan rate-hike pressure grows as oil shock puts Bitcoin at risk

The Bank of Japan signaled the possibility of a hike to its benchmark rate next month with a summary of views from last month’s board meeting that conveyed concerns over upside inflation risks stemming from the conflict in the Middle East.

Bitcoin Faces Its Biggest Macro Test of the Year as Fed Chair Uncertainty Collides With Inflation Fears

BOJ debated near-term rate hike at April meeting, opening door to June move

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 97.7%, while the probability of a rate cut in July is 5.4%.

Tuesday’s CPI report will be a “spicier” set of figures, the first in a series of readings this week that will feed into the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, according to Morgan Stanley’s global head of macro strategy.

Goldman Sachs & Co and Bank of America Corp are the latest in a growing cohort of Wall Street banks pushing back their forecasts for interest-rate cuts.

Senate advances Kevin Warsh nomination for Fed Chair, Powell exit unlikely by May

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