CAT has recently broken above the short-term resistance at $0.0000020 with strong momentum, confirmed by increased trading volume, signifying bullish dominance. This surge benefits from a rebound in market risk appetite and capital rotation. However, caution is needed as short sellers’ costs are elevated, which may lead to profit-taking and heightened volatility in the short term. From a medium-term perspective, if CAT can maintain high trading volume and hold steady above $0.00000185, it may challenge the $0.0000022—$0.0000024 range. A prudent follow-the-trend strategy is recommended: dynamically monitor trading volume and intraday volatility, accumulate positions in batches, set take-profit levels, and control overall risk exposure.

On May 4 and 5, CAT posted two consecutive daily bullish candles with markedly higher trading volume, successfully breaking through the short-term resistance at $0.0000020—signaling strong bullish momentum. Continuous net inflows into Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs and the shift in market sentiment from 'fear' back to 'neutral' indicate that capital from major assets is trickling down to altcoins as risk appetite improves. CAT’s recent surge fits the overall market’s renewed optimism.

Bitcoin rose 2% to $7,910 and Ethereum 3% to $2,388 amid easing geopolitical tensions, boosting Asian markets with Japan's Nikkei 225 and South Korea's Kospi hitting record highs. The US spot Bitcoin ETF saw $823.7 million net inflows for the fourth consecutive week. The crypto fear and greed index improved from 29 (fear) to 47 (neutral). Analyst Dominick John attributes gains to ETF inflows, technical breakthroughs, and reduced risk aversion.

Analyst: Both the crypto market and Asian stock markets rise amid easing geopolitical tensions.

Although the technical landscape suggests a breakout, short sellers’ costs have climbed to multi-year highs, raising the risk of sudden short squeezes or sharp reversals. If CAT shows long upper wicks or a sharp drop in volume after the breakout, it implies rapid profit-taking by bulls, and short-term corrections may represent healthy balancing between buyers and sellers. In the current polarized crypto market, it is crucial to monitor take-profit pressure near intraday highs and trading volume support around lows to manage positions and control risk.

Despite recent Bitcoin price gains, investors are increasingly betting on a price decline. Data from CEX.IO shows short sellers paying rates around 11%, peaking at 19%, the highest since early 2023. Concurrently, Bitcoin is undergoing one of its largest accumulation phases. The simultaneous rise in strong buying and short positions suggests potential significant price volatility, with the possibility of a short squeeze or a reverse shock. Bitcoin currently down 1.6% at $75,754.

Analysis: Bitcoin short positions surge, market prepares for significant volatility.

Boosted by AI investments and positive developments in core U.S. assets, U.S. stocks reached new highs, reflecting global asset rotation and an overall increase in market risk appetite. Since mid-April, CAT has established a base and steadily accumulated momentum in the $0.00000175—$0.00000185 range, gradually forming the foundation for an upward move. If steady growth in trading volume continues, CAT is likely to test the key $0.0000022 level, with potential upside extending to the $0.0000024 target range.

the life of cat

Mousalem: A 2% inflation rate would mean that interest rates can be further lowered.

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Federal Reserve Treasury holdings rise to $4.4 trillion, a new high since July 2024

The Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise interest rates, as it could harm economic stability.

Poland’s central bank is set to keep interest rates unchanged for a second month, with policymakers expected to sharpen anti-inflation rhetoric as the conflict in Iran revives long-dormant price pressures.

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Bond traders are betting that the probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike exceeds 50%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 96%, and the probability for July is 88.8%.

PHP: Inflation shock drives hawkish BSP path – UOB

Institutions: The Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise interest rates because it could harm the economy.

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