Driven by regulatory tailwinds and rising market share, USDC.E's fundamentals continue to strengthen, with improved liquidity in the short term catalyzed by warmer market sentiment. Currently, it remains in range-bound oscillation (support at 1.0000, resistance at 1.0050), with no volume breakout and an unclear direction. Suggestion: In the short term, focus on breakout of the range accompanied by volume signals; be cautious in chasing rallies or sell-offs before a valid breakout. For the medium and long term, due to the ongoing optimization of the regulatory environment and the growing market demand for compliant U.S. dollar assets, consider phased allocation on dips and wait for a clear trend to emerge.

Over the past year, USDC's market cap growth has significantly outpaced USDT, reflecting strong demand for regulated blockchain-based U.S. dollar assets. Against the backdrop of a friendlier stance toward digital assets from the U.S. government, USDC's sustained expansion has reinforced its competitiveness in the stablecoin field, providing robust support for USDC.E's long-term value fundamentals.

In 2025, Circle's USDC stablecoin growth outpaced Tether's USDT for the second consecutive year amid increased demand for regulated blockchain-based dollars and a more favorable US government stance on digital assets. USDC's market value grew 73% to $75.12 billion, while USDT grew 36% to $186.6 billion. Together, they represent over 80% of the $312 billion stablecoin market, indicating limited gains for other tokens from US regulatory developments.

The stablecoin USDC from Circle has surpassed the growth rate of Tether's USDT for the second consecutive year.

Multiple institutional reports show signs of improvement in the crypto market at the start of the year, though initial trends should still be approached with caution. Meanwhile, momentum in Asian markets is strengthening, and rising prices in Bitcoin and Ethereum have driven demand for stablecoins. The increase in call positions and straddle strategies in the options market also indicates the market is preparing for potential volatility upticks. Overall, short-term sentiment recovery is positive for USDC.E liquidity, but caution is warranted regarding the accompanying volatility risks.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

From the latest candlestick charts, USDC.E's price is temporarily maintaining a narrow range oscillation without a clear trending move. Key short-term support and resistance levels remain to be confirmed with a breakout, and trading volume has yet to show significant expansion. It is advisable to monitor whether prices can break out of the range with corresponding volume to confirm the next direction. Meanwhile, with regulatory and sentiment tailwinds, continue to monitor USDC.E and consider strategic positioning over the medium and long term.

Arbitrum Bridged USDC (Arbitrum)

Fed Pumps $8.26B Into Markets Overnight, Is Something Bigger Unfolding?

Federal Reserve's Logan should not imply easing policy guidance.

The Federal Reserve's Kashkari and Harker stated that the conflict has changed the interest rate outlook, and maintaining an accommodative stance is no longer appropriate.

Global news you need to know before the US stock market opens on Friday.

Fed's Hammack: Uncertainty around economy, policy path has risen

Two Federal Reserve officials said they dissented over this week’s policy statement because it was no longer appropriate to signal the Fed’s next move was still likely to be an interest-rate cut.

Fed's Kashkari: Large enough price shock could require series of rate hikes

BoE's Pill: Should act more promptly in response to new inflation pressure

Kashkari: Previously thought inflation might decrease, but this year it is necessary to cut interest rates again.

Hamac: Inflation pressure is widespread, energy drives prices higher

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