Driven by geopolitical conflicts, X token has recently shown high volatility and heavy selling pressure. Technically, it is oscillating within the 0.0000120–0.0000140 range, with intense long-short capital competition. In the long term, ongoing platform ecosystem expansion and the rollout of payment scenarios will continue to enhance fundamental demand for the token. In the short term, it is recommended to capitalize on range-bound trading opportunities and closely monitor changes in geopolitical and liquidity risks. For the medium to long term, if fundamental positives are gradually realized, a progressive position layout is suggested for a center shift upward. Watch for accumulation signals after a breakout above 0.0000140.

The recent escalation in the Middle East has caused significant volatility in oil and precious metals, sharply heightening market risk-aversion sentiment and sparking increased volatility in crypto assets. X token experienced remarkable high-level fluctuations during this wave of sentiment, briefly hitting a high of 0.0000145 intraday before swiftly falling back to around 0.0000126, forming a long upper shadow. This movement reflects short-term risk-off selling pressure on risky assets, and investors' balancing of liquidity demands amid geopolitical shocks, resulting in a 'plunge followed by rebound' pattern for X token, but with difficulties achieving stability.

Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East have triggered a surge in safe-haven demand, with gold and silver prices soaring and oil prices spiking due to supply fears. Despite market turmoil, over 60% of analysts remain bullish on Bitcoin, viewing it as a resilient "borderless hard asset" amid inflation and fiat currency concerns. Bitcoin showed a V-shaped recovery after initial drops, while Ethereum faces challenges with declining activity but retains strong institutional support.

Trading Moment: Geopolitical Conflicts Ignite Safe-Haven Sentiment, Over 60% of Analysts Bullish on Bitcoin

The escalating US-Iran conflict is intensifying, raising questions about how this ongoing geopolitical struggle will reshape risk premiums in the global commodity markets. A visual overview provides insight into these developments.

Jin10 Futures Heatmap

If the Strait of Hormuz is closed for an extended period, the global economy may face a "certain recession." Experts warn that triple-digit oil prices could be just the tip of the iceberg of global concerns.

Futures Hotspot Tracking

In response to the oil price surge triggered by the Iran conflict, Trump stated, "Let it rise," with no plans to use strategic petroleum reserves. White House officials revealed the Treasury may announce measures as early as Thursday to address rising oil prices, potentially including intervention in the oil futures market.

The upcoming non-farm payroll data is highly anticipated and could be the key to breaking the current deadlock. Oil prices have been volatile, disrupting expectations of an interest rate cut. Tonight's non-farm data release is expected to significantly impact market trends.

Crude oil prices surged nearly 30% due to the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, causing a severe supply shock and hitting Asia-Pacific stock markets hard, with major indices plunging sharply. The energy crisis has prompted G7 and IEA to consider releasing strategic reserves. Meanwhile, Bitcoin remains volatile under macroeconomic pressures, with mixed market sentiment amid geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns, as institutional investors hedge against potential downturns.

Trading Moment: Crude Oil Soars 30%, Hitting Asia-Pacific Stock Markets Hard, Bitcoin Still Under Macro Control.

Continuous improvement of the X ecosystem and sustained user growth provide foundational support for the token's long-term value. Record-high daily active users and the rollout of payment business pilots highlight X's ambition towards a 'super app' strategy. As payment use cases roll out and user stickiness increases, the demand for X token circulation within the ecosystem is expected to rise steadily, forming long-term value support and, as macro risks ease, shifting momentum towards bullish accumulation.

Elon Musk's payment app X Money has opened limited external testing, with initial testers including actor William Shatner. Users can earn cashback on specific purchases and enjoy a 6% annual yield on deposits, insured up to $250,000 by FDIC member Cross River Bank. X Money is part of Musk's vision to make X a "super app" integrating payments, messaging, and AI chat, though no crypto payments are planned yet.

X Money is reportedly open for limited testing to external users.

On the daily chart, X token has been repeatedly oscillating within the 0.0000120–0.0000140 range since the start of the month, forming a clear sideways pattern. Trading volume often surges before rapidly contracting, typically reflecting brief news-driven bursts and profit-taking on both sides. Meanwhile, perpetual contract funding rates remain negative, indicating predominant short interest, but overall open interest has dropped significantly, weakening the possibility of a second reversal via deep liquidations. With implied volatility rising, the market is in a 'waiting for direction' phase; for bulls to break through, underlying risk absorption or major positive catalysts are needed.

Independent crypto analyst Axel notes that Bitcoin perpetual futures funding rates have remained negative since late January, indicating dominant short positions. Open interest in USD-denominated Bitcoin futures has dropped from $47.6 billion in October 2025 to $20.8 billion in March 2026, reflecting significant deleveraging. This reduces the risk of sharp liquidations but also limits potential short squeezes, as less leverage remains in the market despite prevailing bearish sentiment.

Analyst: The current market has significantly reduced leverage, lowering the likelihood of a sharp crash, but at the same time limiting the potential for an upward short squeeze.

X Community

Powell: Changing the easing bias is a form of forward guidance.

Powell: The number of people who see the possibility of both rate hikes and rate cuts as equally likely has increased.

Tony Welch: The Federal Reserve's threshold for raising interest rates remains high, and the economy does not yet show a need for rate cuts.

Brian Jacobsen: Opposition to the Fed will be louder after Waller takes office

Powell: Continued additional actions threaten the Federal Reserve's ability to fulfill its duties

Powell: March PCE inflation rate expected to be 3.5%

Powell: Labor demand has weakened

Powell: High inflation partly due to rising energy prices

Fed leaves rates unchanged at Jerome Powell's final meeting as chairman

Federal funds rate swaps: Expect the probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points before April 2027 to reach 50%.

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