TLM benefits from the easing of geopolitical risks and the revival of risk appetite in the crypto market. After breaking above $0.00180 on the daily chart, short-term support has moved up to the $0.00174–$0.00176 range. The overall sentiment in the sector is determined by the battle between bulls and bears at Bitcoin's key level of $75,000–$78,000, and TLM's short-term volatility may intensify alongside mainstream coins. If support proves effective, the target is the previous high of $0.00217. If it breaks below support, watch for retracement risks under $0.00167. It is recommended to build positions in batches based on trading volume and overall market trends, strictly control position sizes and stop losses, and maintain flexible responses to liquidity changes.

Recently, the international situation has become more relaxed, reducing geopolitical risks and noticeably lowering demand for safe-haven assets. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve has shifted to a more hawkish stance. Although there are expectations of short-term liquidity tightening, this has not prevented a rebound in risk assets. Bitcoin and Ethereum led this rally, providing sentiment support for many altcoins. Against this backdrop, TLM has risen alongside mainstream assets within the day, reflecting a restart in market risk appetite. However, caution is needed as upcoming macroeconomic data may impact liquidity and increase short-term volatility.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Recently, Bitcoin broke through the $75,000 mark and encountered resistance near $78,000, creating a short-term divergence between bulls and bears. If key support remains solid, the mainstream coin market will tend to be bullish, attracting incremental funds into altcoins like TLM. However, during repeated tests of a major resistance level, bulls need to beware of liquidity contraction or the risk of short-term profit-taking. TLM is highly correlated with Bitcoin; its short-term price action closely follows mainstream trends, requiring careful attention to critical levels in the broader market.

On the daily chart, following a period of choppy decline since mid-March, TLM saw significant volume increase and a rally on April 17, with the closing price breaking through the $0.00180 resistance and setting a recent high at $0.001863. The $0.00174–$0.00176 area is now short-term support. If subsequent pullbacks are confirmed as support, bulls can target the previous high of $0.00217; conversely, if support is broken with high volume, beware of a correction towards $0.00167 or even $0.00162. It's advised to build positions in batches based on trading volume and overall market movements, and to strictly manage stop-loss and take-profit strategies.

Alien Worlds

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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