FARTCOIN is currently affected by a dual impact of macro supply shortages and short-selling sentiment, resulting in a fluctuation within the $0.195~$0.21 range. Short-term selling pressure has eased, with some technical support for the bulls, but lacks sustained volume momentum. Short-selling rates related to Bitcoin have hit record highs, and the confrontation between bulls and bears may lead to sharp price volatility. Operating advice: closely observe the breakout above $0.21 and the effectiveness of the support at $0.195; if mainstream risk assets experience a squeeze market, there may be an upside opportunity. Otherwise, beware of the risk of rapid pullback after breaking the support.

Expectations of a global physical crude oil supply shortfall have intensified inflationary pressure at the macro level, further enhancing the appeal of digital assets as inflation hedges. However, accompanying policy uncertainties and DeFi security incidents have limited the rebound in risk appetite. This week, FARTCOIN briefly surged in line with the overall risk asset sentiment from April 7 to 8, breaking through the $0.20 threshold and touching above $0.25, but subsequently gave back most of its gains, indicating that macro bullishness is difficult to form a long-term trend without sustained policy or liquidity support.

The Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424) highlights key insights from fast-moving news, covering macroeconomic trends like the looming physical oil supply shortage despite the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, investment and crypto market analyses including user geography and token strategies, and policy updates such as the uncertain passage of the CLARITY Act. It also addresses DeFi challenges, security incidents, and notable industry developments, offering a curated filter to retain valuable perspectives amid information overload.

Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424)

Bitcoin's short-term holders have shifted from losses to near break-even, implying that immediate selling pressure has eased, but overall prices remain below cost benchmarks, showing no real capital flight or chasing momentum. Against this backdrop, FARTCOIN made a technical rebound around April 13, returning to the $0.20 level, but faced resistance near the previous high of $0.232 and entered range-bound oscillation. Thus, short-term bulls are supported but lack further sustained volume, with prices still hovering within the $0.195~$0.21 range.

ChainCatcher reports that Bitcoin short-term holders' discount has narrowed from -21.6% to -5.7%, with the STH-SOPR 7-day average rising above 1, indicating short-term sellers are no longer clearly at a loss. However, the current price remains below the $83,000 cost basis, suggesting the market has not yet entered a true risk-on phase.

Data: Analysis: Short-term Bitcoin holders' discount narrows, market warms up but risk appetite has not yet started.

Currently, Bitcoin's short-selling rates are at a multi-year high, along with accumulation of large-scale buying orders. This bull-bear confrontation may trigger intense volatility and brief squeeze events. As a secondary indicator of market sentiment, FARTCOIN also faces amplified volatility risks. If Bitcoin sees a short-term reversal or strong squeeze, FARTCOIN may rise and attempt to break $0.21 resistance; conversely, if mainstream assets continue to decline, beware of a supplementary drop after breaking the $0.195 support.

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