B2 continues to face pressure, mainly due to capital allocation preference for mainstream assets in the context of increased market risk appetite and the failure to break through the technical resistance zone of 0.64–0.66. The short-term trend remains weak. If the key support at 0.61–0.62 is lost, a rapid decline to 0.56–0.60 could accelerate. In the medium to long term, close attention should be paid to Bitcoin's main trend. Once the mainstream market stabilizes, B2 may usher in an oversold rebound. It is recommended to monitor improvements in trading volume and capital inflow, seize defensive allocation opportunities around 0.61–0.62, and avoid blindly chasing highs.

Recently, Bitcoin's market has shown a clear deleveraging trend, with overall leverage in both spot and derivatives markets falling to low levels. As the US-Iran conflict saw a two-week ceasefire and geopolitical risks eased, Bitcoin experienced several short-term rapid rallies accompanied by a significant climb in volatility. However, as a non-mainstream contract product, B2 failed to benefit from the revival of market risk appetite with any notable premium expansion. The market remains cautious about B2, with major funds still favoring core assets like Bitcoin, resulting in B2's relative weakness.

Bitcoin futures open interest has halved from $42 billion in October 2025 to $21 billion, indicating a deep market deleveraging. Current low leverage means even small capital inflows can significantly impact prices. Funding rates have fluctuated sharply between -12% and +7%, showing rapid shifts in market sentiment. Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, no major liquidations have occurred since early February, reflecting a healthier position structure. Bitcoin awaits a clear directional trend amid heightened market sensitivity.

Analysis: The market has undergone a round of deep deleveraging, and Bitcoin is waiting to choose a direction.

According to analyst Darkfost, following the announcement of a two-week ceasefire between the US and Iran on April 8, Bitcoin saw $2.7 billion in active buy orders on Binance's derivatives market within two hours. The easing of geopolitical tensions pushed Bitcoin's price to around $71,700, indicating short-term investor optimism toward risk assets, though future geopolitical developments remain influential.

Analyst: Within 2 hours of the ceasefire announcement, Binance derivatives market saw $2.7 billion in active buy orders.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where price fluctuations may intensify due to negative gamma effects in the derivatives market. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, previously a major resistance in January. Breaking above $75,000 could accelerate the uptrend, while a decline may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range marks a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through a four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

From late March's high-volatility range of 0.75–0.76, to the early April retracement and a single-day loss of over 15% on April 6th (from a large positive to a negative bar), that day's trading volume soared to approximately 930,000 lots—a recent monthly high. In the days that followed, B2's price repeatedly tested the 0.62–0.64 area. Short-term moving averages are in a death cross pattern and intersecting with medium- to long-term trendlines, creating notable technical resistance. If the price remains below the 0.64–0.66 resistance, bulls may face further downside tests.

Despite risk appetite returning to mainstream crypto assets due to easing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's hawkish stance, B2’s trading activity and capital inflow have not expanded in tandem. Its average daily trading volume has lagged behind Bitcoin over the same period, indicating investors' wait-and-see attitude towards B2 in asset allocation. Additionally, short-term accumulated sell-offs still exist. The long-short divergence is concentrated in mid- to high-price ranges, which further intensifies B2's pressured situation.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

In the long run, Bitcoin has established a solid value zone after repeatedly being supported in the $63,000–$70,000 range. If mainstream assets continue to consolidate at the bottom, B2 can also stabilize in the 0.61–0.62 region. If it holds, short-term losses could be recovered, launching a counterattack towards 0.70–0.73. If it fails again, a further drop towards the medium- to long-term trendline at 0.56–0.60 could occur, deepening the adjustment. In the medium to long term, it's necessary to pay attention to the transmission effect of Bitcoin's overall trend to grasp B2 allocation opportunities.

Analyst Ali highlights a key "value range" for Bitcoin between $63,111 and $70,685, where significant holdings create strong support. Falling below $63,111 may lead to a liquidity void. Bitcoin is also nearing a crucial decade-long upward trend line around $56,000–$60,000, historically a buildup phase before major rallies. Current volatility could represent a generational entry opportunity based on long-term trends and on-chain liquidity.

Analyst: Key "value range" for Bitcoin emerges, current volatility may present a cycle-level entry opportunity.

Analyst Ai highlights a key "value range" for Bitcoin between $63,111 and $70,685, where significant holdings create strong support. Falling below $63,111 could lead to a liquidity vacuum. Bitcoin is also nearing a crucial decade-long upward trend line around $56,000–$60,000, historically a buildup phase before major rallies. Current volatility may represent a generational entry opportunity based on long-term trends and on-chain liquidity.

Analyst: Key "value range" for Bitcoin emerges, current volatility may represent a cyclical entry opportunity.

BSquared Network

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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BSquared Network Price: B2 Live Price Today | B2 Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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B2 price today is 0.63, with a live price change of -1.62 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade B2 on Bybit-eu.

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