EDGE is currently in a low-leverage environment, making it highly sensitive to liquidity and causing significant increases in short-term volatility. Combined with an improving macro environment and continuous institutional allocation, the trend of rising risk appetite is confirmed. Technically, EDGE has broken above the previous high range (1.07–1.08) and found effective support at 1.13–1.14 before testing the 1.28 level. It is recommended to monitor the validity of the key 1.13 support zone; if there is continued high-volume breakout above 1.28, a new round of upward movement may start. The short-term strategy should focus on buying on pullbacks and controlling risk below 1.13.

Recently, open interest in Bitcoin futures has halved from about $42 billion in October last year to $21 billion, indicating that the overall market is undergoing deep deleveraging. The current low-leverage pattern means even relatively small capital inflows or outflows can significantly impact prices. Observing EDGE's daily chart shows that on April 15 and April 16, only capital movements of around $6 million and $20 million respectively pushed the price up sharply from 1.0411 to over 1.1693, with a single-day gain exceeding 12%. This sensitivity has intensified short-term price fluctuations, but also provided opportunities for short-term traders.

Bitcoin futures open interest has halved from $42 billion in October 2025 to $21 billion, indicating a deep market deleveraging. Current low leverage means even small capital inflows can significantly impact prices. Funding rates have fluctuated sharply between -12% and +7%, showing rapid shifts in market sentiment. Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, no major liquidations have occurred since early February, reflecting a healthier position structure. Bitcoin awaits a clear directional trend amid heightened market sensitivity.

Analysis: The market has undergone a round of deep deleveraging, and Bitcoin is waiting to choose a direction.

With geopolitical tensions easing and the Federal Reserve’s stance becoming more hawkish, global risk assets are receiving a dual boost. The notable rebound in the U.S. AI sector and the overall stock market has prompted capital to flow back into the crypto sector, especially in major tokens like Bitcoin and Ethereum where bullish sentiment is recovering. Meanwhile, persistent ETF inflows by institutions and renewed Bitcoin accumulation by holding companies demonstrate confidence in long-term value. The improvement in macro risk appetite is also reflected in EDGE's daily chart: after touching a low of 0.7846 on April 13, it rebounded to 0.9658 the next day and recaptured multiple short-term moving averages, confirming the bullish trend.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

While mainstream coins are undergoing corrections, EDGE has demonstrated independent momentum. According to market data, EDGE has gained over 16% in a single day, significantly outperforming the broader market. Technically, since April 1, the price experienced several sideways accumulations and recently broke the previous high area of 1.07–1.08, reaching an intraday high of 1.284 on April 16, indicating strong bullish force. Although trading volume has slightly retreated from its peak, the volume-price pattern still confirms upward momentum. In the short term, focus on the support around 1.13–1.14 and resistance near 1.28; if support is sustained and volume increases, there is potential for further upside.

Definitive

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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EDGE price today is 0.12, with a live price change of 2.49 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade EDGE on Bybit-eu.

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