The current market is in the early stage of a bull run, with trading ranges narrowing and trading volumes remaining stable, indicating a standoff between bulls and bears and an imminent direction selection. In the short term, if a breakout signal driven by bulls is effectively confirmed, a stronger market recovery may be initiated, and the INVEST token is expected to break through its previous highs, with a short-term target range of 12.3–13.8 USDT. Investors are advised to closely monitor key support (11.2 USDT) and the daily trend reversal to guard against the risk of a false breakout leading to a pullback. Meanwhile, the innovative growth of the housing price index prediction market enhances overall liquidity and may continue to attract institutional capital allocation, providing intrinsic momentum for INVEST’s medium- and long-term trends, making it suitable for incremental position management and gradual follow-up.

Recent market dynamics show that many veteran institutional investors emphasize the importance of trend investing and point out the obvious characteristics of a bull market’s early stage. A renowned analyst notes that the final selling pressure of the bear market is gradually being absorbed by stop-losses from short positions, and once key trends are established, a rapid short-term rally may be triggered. Candlestick charts show that the trading range continues to narrow and volume stays near the average level, suggesting the market is waiting for a clear signal. In the short term, sentiment is expected to improve as bullish strength gradually dominates, but attention must be paid to the effective confirmation of trend reversal signals to avoid the risk of premature entry leading to a pullback.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua reflects on a decade in crypto, emphasizing the importance of improving investment and trading understanding, focusing on trend investing, and ignoring short-term fluctuations. He notes that bears are making a last effort, betting on factors like the four-year cycle and liquidity decline, but these bets are failing and will fuel a short squeeze during the market rise. He urges focus on professional research and continuous learning.

Yi Lihua: Bears are making their final efforts, which will become fuel for the upward movement.

The newly launched housing price index-based prediction market has opened a new channel for on-chain application liquidity. Through transparent trading and settlement processes, this mechanism provides participants with hedging and speculative tools for real estate prices, further expanding the use cases of USDC within the Polygon ecosystem. This move helps improve the overall capital efficiency on-chain and may attract more institutional and professional capital’s attention, thereby indirectly enhancing trading activity and market depth for tokens including INVEST, strengthening support for medium- and long-term trends.

Polymarket has launched a new real estate prediction market in partnership with Parcl, using Parcl's daily housing price indices as transparent settlement data. This allows users to trade predictions on monthly, quarterly, or annual home price movements in major U.S. cities via USDC on Polygon. The market provides a novel way to hedge or speculate on real estate price risks without selling physical assets, introducing liquidity and real-time pricing to a traditionally illiquid market.

How to trade real estate in prediction markets

Dog In Vest

Ouch. The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield just hit 5% and bitcoin may pay the price.

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The Federal Reserve maintains the interest rate at 3.5%-3.75%, continuing its wait-and-see approach.

Morgan Stanley delays Fed rate cut expectations to next year, inflation pressures remain high.

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Reminder: Please pay special attention to the following (all times are in Beijing time).

US growth likely picked up in first quarter, but consumer spending probably cooled

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Bitcoin Slips to $75K as Federal Reserve Holds Rates, Dimming Warsh “Pivot Party” Hopes

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