Benefiting from a recovery in macro sentiment and spot Bitcoin capital inflows, CKB saw a noticeable short-term rebound. Technically, the $0.00156 level has been effectively breached. Attention should now focus on the resistance zone at $0.00167–$0.00170. If trading volume continues to cooperate, it may further test $0.00175. Key support lies at $0.00147–$0.00149. However, caution is advised as risk appetite in the derivatives market remains limited; if the broader market loses the critical $74,000 support, CKB may retreat to previous lows. Strategic advice is to dynamically adjust positions based on support, with stringent control of drawdown risk.

Recently, the Bitcoin market has repeatedly broken through key resistance levels and formed strong support in the $74,000–$75,000 range, driven by easing geopolitical tensions and changes in Federal Reserve policy expectations. This round of Bitcoin rebound is mainly propelled by spot buying. While the derivatives market remains cautious, overall risk appetite has clearly rebounded, leading to a short-term inflow of funds into altcoins such as CKB. Since April 11, CKB has surged rapidly on increased trading volumes, reflecting the spillover effect of the main market. Short-term sentiment is clearly positive.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

From the daily chart, after CKB formed a long upper shadow on April 11, it once retreated to around $0.00146 where buying interest appeared, building a short-term bottom near $0.00147. On April 16 and 17, it posted two consecutive bullish candlesticks alongside expanding trading volumes, successfully breaking through the $0.00156 resistance and closing steadily above it. Bullish momentum continues in the short term. The immediate resistance to watch is the $0.00167–$0.00170 zone. If it stabilizes above this, a move toward $0.00175 is possible; key support is near $0.00147–$0.00149.

Bitcoin rose to around $74,935 during the Asian session, up 0.7% in 24 hours and 5.4% weekly, driven mainly by spot buying rather than broad risk appetite. Derivatives markets show caution: perpetual contract funding rates remain negative, open interest declines, and options indicate higher demand for downside protection. This suggests a rebound, not a trend reversal, amid ongoing risk aversion and cautious sentiment despite gains.

Analysis: Bitcoin strengthens along with US stocks, but the options market still bets on downside risk.

Despite a sentiment-driven rebound in spot markets, Bitcoin perpetual contract funding rates remain negative and both positions and open interest have declined, suggesting derivatives traders have not yet abandoned risk aversion. Should the main market face new bearish catalysts or lose the $74,000 support, short-term capital may exit the altcoin sector again, and CKB could retest the $0.00147 support or fall lower. Investors should remain alert to the risk of increased volatility and drawdowns, and dynamically adjust positions in relation to major market support levels.

Nervos Network

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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