Against the backdrop of hawkish expectations from the Federal Reserve and improving market risk appetite, QUBIC is expected to benefit in the short term from capital inflows driven by Bitcoin, leading to active trading and a staged rebound, with key resistance levels to watch in the 0.037–0.045 range. In the long term, potential threats from quantum computing technologies should be noted; we recommend closely monitoring its anti-quantum security architecture and ecosystem developments. Short-term operations can follow mainstream trends, while mid- to long-term allocation is only advised if the project's underlying technology keeps iterating.

Recently, easing geopolitical tensions combined with the Federal Reserve’s hawkish monetary stance have led to a noticeable rebound in risk assets after pressure. Strong performance in the US technology sector has revived investor risk appetite toward the crypto market. In this context, mainstream crypto assets are attracting a new wave of institutional and retail funds, boosting market sentiment and potentially improving short-term liquidity and trading activity for small- and mid-cap tokens such as QUBIC.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Bitcoin’s price has recently tested key resistance multiple times and moved above four-week highs, with several medium- and long-term moving averages in a bullish alignment. Short-term momentum indicators show upward momentum. Historical data suggests that sustained breakouts near key moving averages or resistance levels in Bitcoin tend to amplify price volatility via negative gamma effects in derivatives markets, attracting momentum traders. As a closely related altcoin, QUBIC often follows Bitcoin’s lead in breakout volume, presenting short-term rebound opportunities.

10x Research analysis indicates Bitcoin is approaching a significant breakout, with internal trend models detecting a shift and market sentiment, positions, and capital flow data confirming structural changes. Despite concerns about quantum computing threats emerging around 2030-2035, current technical indicators show constructive momentum and multiple signals suggest a high probability of short-term upward movement. The key question remains if this will lead to a new bull market and all-time highs.

Analysis: Bitcoin may face a critical breakthrough, multiple indicators resonate pointing to an upward window.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Forward-looking research points out that quantum computing may pose challenges to current cryptographic algorithms between 2030 and 2035. Although this risk has not yet exerted substantial price pressure, from a long-term value investment perspective, the upgradability and quantum-resistant capabilities of a token’s underlying security architecture will be a key competitive differentiator. If the QUBIC project can proactively implement anti-quantum computing solutions at the protocol level, it will have a clear advantage with respect to mid- to long-term value recognition.

Considering current market sentiment and technical indicators, QUBIC is poised to gain short-term upside opportunities as sector-wide capital flows in, but remains susceptible to Bitcoin’s price swings. Traders should pay attention to changes in key support and resistance levels. For mid- to long-term investors, it’s important to continuously assess progress in quantum-resistant solutions, team technology advancement, and ecosystem development, in order to adjust portfolio strategies across different market cycles.

Qubic

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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Qubic Price: QUBIC Live Price Today | QUBIC Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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QUBIC price today is 0.00, with a live price change of 3.04 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade QUBIC on Bybit-eu.

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