The ARC contract price has recently shown a 'dip-and-rebound' trend, mainly influenced by continued ETF capital inflow and easing geopolitical risks. The rebound in risk appetite has driven a short-term price bounce. Technically, $0.065 serves as a key support level, while the $0.078–$0.080 range forms the primary resistance zone. Market sentiment has shifted from fear to neutral, but volatility is expected to persist in the short term due to macro risks and industry uncertainties. It is recommended to monitor the effectiveness of the $0.065 support; if fund flows continue to improve and the price breaks above $0.080, this could open up medium-term upside potential. Conversely, if negative factors concentrate and the support is broken, further declines could follow. Strategy-wise, it is advisable to focus on range trading, manage positions flexibly, and set strict stop-losses.

Recently, Bitcoin and Ethereum rallied collectively due to large-scale ETF net inflows and easing geopolitical risks, leading to a significant lift in market risk appetite and fueling rebounds in both major and small-to-mid cap tokens. ARC contract price rebounded from an intraday low of $0.0643 to $0.0753 on April 28, indicating strong short-term upward momentum and a shift in investor sentiment from fear to neutral.

With global crude oil supply possibly tightening and macro policy issues heating up, volatility in the crypto market has increased. Such macro factors, combined with the risk of security events within the industry, have caused funds to rotate rapidly among high-volatility assets, resulting in a sharp drop followed by a swift bottoming pattern in the ARC contract price.

The Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424) highlights key insights from fast-moving news, covering macroeconomic trends like the looming physical oil supply shortage despite the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, investment and crypto market analyses including user geography and token strategies, and policy updates such as the uncertain passage of the CLARITY Act. It also addresses DeFi challenges, security incidents, and notable industry developments, offering a curated filter to retain valuable perspectives amid information overload.

Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424)

From a technical perspective, the ARC contract has repeatedly found strong support near $0.065, holding under short-term pressure and forming a base pattern; the $0.078–$0.080 range above is a key resistance area, with multiple attempts failing to break through convincingly. If the trends of increasing ETF inflows and improving risk appetite persist, a move toward the $0.08 threshold is likely. On the other hand, if macro or industry-related negative developments concentrate again, caution is warranted for further declines if $0.065 support is broken.

Redemption Arc

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