SOLO experienced a short-term pullback due to geopolitical conflicts, with shrinking risk appetite favoring bearish sentiment. The price fell from $0.067 to $0.045, and short-term selling pressure was clearly released. Nevertheless, rising demand for decentralized prediction and pricing, as well as the market capitalization and applications of the DeFi sector, provide support for SOLO’s on-chain activity and value. Technically, SOLO has already entered an oversold zone, with $0.05 as key support. It is recommended to watch for a rebound after extreme sentiment is digested; maintain a cautious mid- to long-term bullish bias. For short-term trading, allocate within the $0.045–$0.05 range and implement flexible stop-loss.

Recently, the ongoing escalation of the US-Iran conflict has caused significant disruptions in the global oil supply chain, with crude oil prices surging nearly 30% in a single day, leading to a sharp decline in global risk appetite. Against this backdrop, SOLO’s price has faced continuous pressure since early March, dropping from around $0.067 on March 4th to approximately $0.045 on March 10th—a decline of over 30%. In tandem with the increased demand for safe-haven assets in traditional markets, risk aversion sentiment tightened in digital assets, with bulls actively exiting positions and bearish sentiment dominating, resulting in a clear short-term selling pressure setup.

The escalating US-Iran conflict is intensifying, raising questions about how this ongoing geopolitical struggle will reshape risk premiums in the global commodity markets. A visual overview provides insight into these developments.

Jin10 Futures Heatmap

If the Strait of Hormuz is closed for an extended period, the global economy may face a "certain recession." Experts warn that triple-digit oil prices could be just the tip of the iceberg of global concerns.

Futures Hotspot Tracking

Crude oil prices surged nearly 30% due to the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, causing a severe supply shock and hitting Asia-Pacific stock markets hard, with major indices plunging sharply. The energy crisis has prompted G7 and IEA to consider releasing strategic reserves. Meanwhile, Bitcoin remains volatile under macroeconomic pressures, with mixed market sentiment amid geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns, as institutional investors hedge against potential downturns.

Trading Moment: Crude Oil Soars 30%, Hitting Asia-Pacific Stock Markets Hard, Bitcoin Still Under Macro Control.

When traditional markets experience pricing gaps due to geopolitical conflicts and holidays, on-chain prediction markets and perpetual contract exchanges serve as critical supplemental pricing mechanisms. Driven by platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket reaching market caps close to $20 billion, alongside a substantial increase in the circulation of the on-chain stablecoin USDD, the overall liquidity and application scenarios of the DeFi ecosystem have been further validated. As a crucial part of this ecosystem, SOLO’s on-chain activity is expected to improve further due to pricing needs and decentralized governance mechanisms, granting it relatively strong long-term value potential.

As conflict reignites in the Middle East and traditional markets close for the weekend, creating a "pricing vacuum," prediction markets and perpetual exchanges emerge as the only continuously operating pricing systems worldwide. This highlights how on-chain exchanges like Hyperliquid and Polymarket play a crucial role in crisis pricing.

Hyperliquid vs Polymarket: How Do On-Chain Exchanges Price Crisis?

Kalshi and Polymarket, two leading prediction markets, are both valued around $20 billion amid rapid growth and competition. Kalshi's 2025 transaction volume surged over 1100%, driven mainly by sports contracts, while Polymarket maintains strength in political and crypto events with steady user growth. Both platforms have formed strategic partnerships with major institutions and media, pushing prediction markets into mainstream financial and information tools.

$20B valuation, Kalshi and Polymarket start an arms race?

The decentralized stablecoin $USDD saw a 56% increase in circulating supply from $452.23 million in late November 2025 to $728.50 million by early March 2026, peaking at nearly $778 million in January. This growth occurred despite negative market sentiment and reflects increased liquidity and transaction capacity within the TRON ecosystem. After January’s peak, supply stabilized between $720 and $750 million, indicating sustained interest amid declining broader market risk appetite.

USDD’s Dramatic Supply Increase Defies Market Trends

From the daily chart perspective, SOLO has been on a continuous decline since mid-February, repeatedly testing the $0.05 psychological support level and briefly rebounding after touching a low of $0.048 on March 9th. Currently, the MACD indicator shows a divergent pattern below the zero axis, and the RSI has entered the oversold zone, indicating that short-term extreme bearish sentiment may have been largely digested. If market sentiment improves after the release of Nonfarm Payrolls data, SOLO is expected to find support near the $0.05 level and potentially stage a technical rebound.

The upcoming non-farm payroll data is highly anticipated and could be the key to breaking the current deadlock. Oil prices have been volatile, disrupting expectations of an interest rate cut. Tonight's non-farm data release is expected to significantly impact market trends.

Solordi

Hassett says Powell’s reappointment could delay Fed rate cuts, with crypto watching closely

U.S. PCE Inflation Rises to 3-Year High, Bitcoin Slides

US Treasury yields spike to highest levels in a year, adding a new problem for Bitcoin liquidity.

European Central Bank policymakers are likely to raise interest rates at their next meeting in June unless there are positive developments on energy prices and ending the Iran war.

The European Central Bank's inclination to raise interest rates has strengthened, with Lagarde emphasizing increased risks.

European Central Bank officials stated that if energy prices do not ease, interest rates will be raised in June.

Hassett: It's time for Powell to leave the Federal Reserve.

Here’s why the crypto market is falling today

Lagarde speech: Interest rates best tool we can use

The Fed’s PCE Data Used to Measure Inflation Has Been Released! Here’s Bitcoin’s (BTC) Initial Reaction!

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