With current market risk appetite rebounding, TREE established a double-bottom structure around the 0.058 region and has since rallied in sync with major assets, currently finding support in the 0.069-0.070 range. If this level is maintained in the short term, TREE may challenge resistance between 0.073 and 0.080. However, caution is warranted against capital flow shocks and pullback risks caused by heightened volatility in major crypto assets and TREE's high beta characteristic. Strategy recommendation: Watch TREE’s response to the 0.070 support. If BTC consolidates above $75,000, gradually consider upside opportunities. If support fails, decisively manage positions to guard against deep corrections.

Recently, the easing of geopolitical tensions and the ongoing hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve have together prompted an uptick in market risk appetite, leading to a collective rally across the digital asset sector. Bitcoin and Ethereum were the first to strengthen, and continued institutional capital inflows into ETFs and long-term holdings also indicate ongoing confidence in the long-term value of digital assets. Against this backdrop, TREE rapidly followed the market rebound after hitting an interim low near 0.058 in late March, and returned above the 0.07 mark in mid-April, demonstrating its sensitivity and responsiveness to the overall improvement in risk asset sentiment.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

On the daily chart, TREE’s price tested the 0.058-0.059 area twice at the end of March and the beginning of April, forming a symmetrical double-bottom. After a surge in trading volume with a large bearish candle on April 6, price quickly recovered in a V-shape and moved in tandem with Bitcoin, which broke a four-week high that day, as trading volume surged. Subsequently, TREE gradually settled above its 5/10/20-day moving averages and tested above 0.08, but faced resistance and retreated in the 0.073-0.080 area, indicating significant profit-taking pressure. The 0.069-0.070 band has now become a key support level. If this zone holds in the short term, it could help TREE push further toward upper resistance.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

As major assets approach key moving averages and critical volatility trigger points, the negative gamma effects in market derivatives could intensify short-term volatility. When Bitcoin repeatedly tests the $75,000 mark, capital may flow in or out rapidly as bulls and bears contest, impacting high-beta assets such as TREE. In the medium term, if Bitcoin consolidates above $75,000 and breaks above the $78,000 resistance, risk appetite is likely to extend, providing new upward momentum for TREE. Conversely, should a pullback occur, beware of accelerated downside risk due to tightening short-term liquidity in the market.

Tree

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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TREE price today is 0.21, with a live price change of 0.16 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade TREE on Bybit-eu.

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