Based on recent market conditions, VELO faces short-term risks of continued volatility and potential testing of the $0.00320–$0.00330 support zone, affected by decreasing market risk appetite and shrinking trading volume. It is advisable to monitor the accumulation of buying power within this range. In the medium-to-long term, sustained structural capital inflows and an enhanced value of DeFi infrastructure are expected to provide potential upward momentum. Strategically, if the price makes a valid break and holds above the $0.00400–$0.00440 resistance zone, a moderate increase in allocation and following the trend to go long can be considered; if it falls below $0.00380, it's recommended to reduce exposure promptly and wait for confirmation of new supports.

Due to corrections in major digital assets and institutional ETF outflows, market risk appetite has turned cautious. Although VELO made a slight rebound on May 8 and stabilized near $0.00338, trading volume has significantly contracted compared to previous periods, reflecting strong short-term indecisiveness among bulls and bears. On the daily chart, the price has twice tested the $0.00320–$0.00330 support area, forming a pattern where both downside risk and bottoming attempts coexist.

Bitcoin fell below $80,000 after five consecutive days of net inflows into spot ETFs ended, signaling a cooling rebound from February lows. Stronger-than-expected US April jobs data heightened concerns over energy-driven inflation limiting rate cuts. Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw significant outflows, reflecting reduced institutional risk appetite. Rising US-Iran tensions pushed oil prices up, offsetting some risk asset support. Derivatives suggest prolonged hawkish rate expectations, with retail participation low and market momentum weak, posing a risk of Bitcoin retesting $75,000–$78,000 support.

Analysis: Bitcoin surged then fell back below $80K, with ETF outflows and geopolitical risks jointly suppressing market sentiment.

Recently, top venture capitals have heavily allocated into the crypto sector. Newly established multi-million-dollar funds and continuous investment in blockchain-AI integration are expected to inject structural incremental capital into DeFi projects. As one of the major liquidity protocols, VELO could maintain its activity in the medium and long term by following institutional trends, and gain further value support through advancements in infrastructure and ecosystem applications.

From the daily chart perspective, on May 9, VELO broke above the previous high at $0.003868 with increased volume, and on May 10 briefly rose to $0.004425, signaling strong bullish participation. The resistance intensity around $0.00440 now deserves close attention, as does whether the $0.00390–$0.00400 range can turn into a support if there is a price pullback. If this zone holds, it may fuel a new round of upward momentum; if breached, a retest of $0.00380 and lower medium-term support levels is possible.

Velodrome Finance

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