HOPPY is currently at an emotional watershed; in the short term, it may show a volatile rise as the market recovers, but trading volume has not expanded significantly, so upward momentum remains to be observed. Large holders’ recent profit-taking has amplified volatility, increasing the risk of chasing short-term rallies or dips. In the medium to long term, if the overall bull market logic continues, HOPPY retains further upside potential. Key support (quantitative reference: pullback support at $0.032), incremental capital signals, and adopting a phased entry and flexible position management strategies are recommended to safeguard against short-term pullbacks due to liquidity contraction.

Recently, crypto market sentiment has begun to recover, but experienced analysts emphasize that more data is needed to confirm a trend reversal. In this macro environment, HOPPY may follow bullish sentiment with a short-term volatile rise, but trading volume remains insufficient, indicating a lack of buying strength. Investors should watch subsequent volume coordination to verify upward momentum.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Position adjustments from major long holders of another mainstream token show that whales, after high-level positioning, have suffered significant unrealized losses and have repeatedly closed or trimmed positions due to arbitrage expectations. Such buying-the-dip and stop-loss actions by large holders can amplify market volatility. HOPPY may likewise face similar sentiment-driven short-term rallies or sell-offs, so caution is advised regarding the risks of sudden liquidity contraction and associated short-term pullbacks.

Since January 2, HYPE has gained over 13%, reaching a high of $27.4. The largest long whale on-chain, holding about $36.44 million with an average price of $38.6 and liquidation price at $20, has reduced its unrealized loss from $20 million to $17 million. This whale, the biggest long holder on Hyperliquid, opened a large position before Robinhood announced HYPE spot trading, leading to community suspicion of insider information.

HYPE has recently seen a significant increase, but the largest on-chain HYPE long position is still stuck with an unrealized loss of 17 million due to an average cost of $38.

Since January 2, HYPE has gained over 13%, reaching a high of $27.4. The largest long whale on-chain, holding about $36.44 million with an average price of $38.6, still faces a $17 million unrealized loss, down from $20 million. This whale, suspected of insider trading before HYPE's Robinhood listing, has incurred over $1 million in funding fee losses over two months.

Influential investors judge, based on macro and industry fundamentals, that the bull market logic remains intact and bears may have finished their last test. If the market continues to improve, HOPPY’s medium- to long-term trend still has upside potential. Investors are advised to plan accordingly after confirming key support, prioritizing phased entries and position control during short-term fluctuations to guard against irrational sentiment-driven sell-offs.

Based Hoppy

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