In the current macro deleveraging environment and driven by Bitcoin's volatile upward movement, BEL exhibits strong price-volume linkage and trend continuation characteristics. The daily structure is clear, and the $0.098–$0.100 range has established solid support. If there is sustained breakout with volume above the $0.121 resistance, it is expected to further challenge $0.130. It is recommended to follow the trend, pay attention to key support on dips, dynamically manage risk of pullbacks, and flexibly capture trending moves. Short-term strategy remains range-bound trading.

Recently, the crypto market has entered a deep deleveraging phase, with overall contract open interest dropping significantly, resulting in a healthier capital structure. In this low-leverage context, even small-scale spot buying can noticeably push asset prices. Furthermore, easing geopolitical tensions have led to risk assets rebounding, while active spot buying has concentrated short-term bullish sentiment in the market. This macro sentiment recovery provides external momentum for high-risk premium altcoins, and BEL has received sentiment support in this environment, showing a prominent rebound and active trading signals.

Bitcoin futures open interest has halved from $42 billion in October 2025 to $21 billion, indicating a deep market deleveraging. Current low leverage means even small capital inflows can significantly impact prices. Funding rates have fluctuated sharply between -12% and +7%, showing rapid shifts in market sentiment. Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, no major liquidations have occurred since early February, reflecting a healthier position structure. Bitcoin awaits a clear directional trend amid heightened market sensitivity.

Analysis: The market has undergone a round of deep deleveraging, and Bitcoin is waiting to choose a direction.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

When Bitcoin moves near key value zones and medium-to-long-term moving averages, it triggers a negative gamma effect in the derivatives market, intensifying price volatility. Once Bitcoin confirms a breakout or pullback, market sentiment is transmitted to the altcoin sector through capital allocation and risk management needs. Currently, Bitcoin is in a typical volatile upward phase; sustained upward breakouts from critical resistance levels will drive secondary acceleration in altcoins. Conversely, a short-term pullback will amplify volatility risk across the sector, reminding traders to balance swing opportunities with drawdown management.

Analyst Ali highlights a key "value range" for Bitcoin between $63,111 and $70,685, where significant holdings create strong support. Falling below $63,111 may lead to a liquidity void. Bitcoin is also nearing a crucial decade-long upward trend line around $56,000–$60,000, historically a buildup phase before major rallies. Current volatility could represent a generational entry opportunity based on long-term trends and on-chain liquidity.

Analyst: Key "value range" for Bitcoin emerges, current volatility may present a cycle-level entry opportunity.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where price fluctuations may intensify due to negative gamma effects in the derivatives market. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, previously a major resistance in January. Breaking above $75,000 could accelerate the uptrend, while a decline may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range marks a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through a four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

From the daily timeframe, BEL has bottomed around $0.094 since early April, with price steadily climbing along an ascending channel and currently standing above $0.115, marking an over 20% cumulative increase. Trading volume has expanded notably at multiple breakout nodes, indicating active participation from buyers. The major support zone is locked at $0.098–$0.100, which has been strongly defended during multiple pullbacks; key resistance above is at $0.120–$0.121, previous highs, and if a breakout occurs with strong volume, it may target $0.130. Considering the macro deleveraging context and Bitcoin's volatility, BEL is likely to offer tradable range opportunities along the continuing trend, while vigilance is needed regarding the risk of key support being breached.

Bella Protocol

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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Live chart for Bella Protocol to USD conversion. Check out BEL to USD prices in real time. Convert, buy, sell, and trade Bella Protocol on Bybit-eu.

Bella Protocol Price: BEL Live Price Today | BEL Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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BEL price today is 0.13, with a live price change of 9.90 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade BEL on Bybit-eu.

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