Driven by improved macro liquidity and a rebound in market risk appetite, BILLY has seen an increase in short-term trading activity. Its price volatility is mainly influenced by sentiment, and a clear breakout has yet to form. Attention should be paid to technical validation in the 0.23-0.28 core range. In the medium-to-long term, whether BILLY can achieve ecosystem adoption and a closed value loop will determine its ability to capture structural premiums in the next bull cycle. It's recommended to focus on fundamental progress and on-chain data. Stay flexible in positions for short-term trades and avoid blindly chasing rallies or panicking during dips.

Recent macro data indicates that the crypto market is transitioning from a deleveraging phase to moderate expansion. The dominance of spot trading has improved structural health, helping risk appetite across the market recover. As a mid- to small-cap asset, BILLY has attracted more capital attention in this environment, leading to increased trading activity. However, available candlestick data show that a clear breakout or divergence pattern has not yet formed, with prices largely oscillating within a range. Short-term direction depends on the validation of key support and resistance levels. Be cautious as speculative trading between high sell-offs and low buy-ins may intensify.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Mainstream opinion suggests that the bull market is driven by value and trend, not pure speculation. With dual tailwinds from macro and industry perspectives, institutions and capital will continue to seek long-term growth points. Although there are still some final bearish games being played, history shows that early exiters take small losses, while late exiters face significant losses. If BILLY can achieve substantial progress in project iteration and ecosystem development, it will gain sustained incremental value within the broader trend. Otherwise, it may be abandoned by capital rotation among competing projects.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua stated that respected investors like Buffett profit from value and trends, not speculation. He affirmed that 2024 is set to be a bull market due to macro and industry factors beyond individual control. Short sellers are making a final effort but face losses—exiting early means small losses, exiting late means large losses. After a month of market volatility, optimism will prevail while pessimists lag behind.

Yi Lihua: Trend is better than speculation, the bull market is set, bears face "small losses early, big losses late."

Billy

Mitsubishi UFJ: If the Federal Reserve emphasizes inflation risks, the US dollar may rise.

Gold: Rising oil clouds Fed easing hopes – OCBC

The market is focused on the Federal Reserve's assessment of rising inflation and its policy path.

Reminder: Please pay close attention to the following (all times are in Beijing time).

Australia’s inflation remained above the Reserve Bank’s 2-3% target band as higher fuel costs from Middle East supply disruptions compounded already-elevated price pressures to keep policymakers on a tightening path.

Uncertainty around the economic outlook and a leadership transition at the US central bank loom large over this week’s meeting of Federal Reserve officials, who are expected to leave interest rates unchanged on Wednesday.

Economists: The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged, waiting for changes in employment and inflation.

Mexico’s central bank will consider one more interest rate cut at its May meeting that may bring an end to the easing cycle it started two years ago, Governor Victoria Rodriguez Ceja said.

The Fed is set to hold rates in what’s likely Powell’s last meeting as chair - then it’ll be Kevin Warsh’s turn in what has become a political hotseat under Donald Trump

UAE Quits OPEC After 59 Years, BTC Slides Below $76K Amid Hormuz Supply Shock

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