Short-term market sentiment has shown signs of recovery, but there is currently a lack of clear signals indicating a trend reversal, and key resistance levels have not been effectively broken (it is advised to closely monitor the upper resistance zone). Amid increased volatility, it is recommended to build positions in batches, set stop-losses below resistance levels, strictly control the risk of chasing highs, and take surging trading volume as a reference for adding positions. For medium- to long-term allocation, sustained improvement in both trading volume and fundamentals is still needed before adding positions resonantly. Do not rush into heavy positions based on short-term sentiment; it is advised to continue monitoring ecosystem and application developments and to guard against the risk of inflated prices.

Recent on-chain data analysis shows that bullish sentiment is returning, with trading volumes of major crypto assets rising slightly, reflecting that investors’ wait-and-see attitude regarding the end of the decline is shifting towards cautious trial buying. There are still no clear reversal signals confirming a trend reversal, so in the short term, it is important to watch if key trading price levels are maintained to verify whether buying activity can persist.

Early stages of sentiment recovery are often accompanied by profit-taking pressure at higher levels. If prices are repeatedly blocked at important resistance zones without an effective breakout, it may trigger short-term price swings or pullbacks. Traders are advised to set stop-losses below key resistance levels, build positions in batches to reduce the risk of buying highs, and closely monitor trading volume surges as confirmation signals before deciding to increase their exposure.

The current signals of market improvement are still at a nascent stage, lacking supporting indicators of sustained rise in trading volume and trend confirmation. For long-term investors, besides tracking market sentiment, it is necessary to combine updates in ecosystem development and application adoption to ensure that future price rises are driven by intrinsic factors, rather than relying solely on short-term sentiment-induced price bubbles.

ai16zeliza

Ouch. The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield just hit 5% and bitcoin may pay the price.

Bank of Japan: High oil prices and a weak yen could keep core inflation at around 3% for two consecutive years

The Federal Reserve maintains the interest rate at 3.5%-3.75%, continuing its wait-and-see approach.

Morgan Stanley delays Fed rate cut expectations to next year, inflation pressures remain high.

The Powell era comes to an end: What has he left behind?

Reminder: Please pay special attention to the following (all times are in Beijing time).

US growth likely picked up in first quarter, but consumer spending probably cooled

Morgan Stanley: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026 and cut rates in 2027.

Bitcoin Slips to $75K as Federal Reserve Holds Rates, Dimming Warsh “Pivot Party” Hopes

SoSo Macro | Powell Remains Governor, Three Fed Voters Oppose Rate Cuts; Big Tech Cloud Revenue Growth Accelerates

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