Recently, ASR has been driven by the window for claiming Active Stake Rewards, leading to a strong short-term breakout above the 1.29 USDT resistance, with significantly increased market buying and daily trading volume confirming a bullish dominance. Current position confidence is boosted by the allocation of JUP rewards, and the short-term trend is expected to challenge the 1.33 USDT resistance, with lower support focused on the 1.25–1.26 USDT range. However, caution is advised regarding the risk of phase-based selling pressure around the peak of claims in July. If profit taking is concentrated and released, prices may pull back from high levels. Investors are advised to be cautious about chasing the highs, focus on buying during pullbacks in the short-term, and pay attention to the claim rhythm and capital flow changes in the mid-term.

Since the opening of the Active Stake Rewards claim on April 9, the ASR contract price has climbed from 1.2476 USDT to 1.3301 USDT, accompanied by several surges in volume and bullish candlesticks, indicating that short-term bulls are dominant under reward realization expectations. Investors responded positively to the 50 million JUP distribution scale, boosting position confidence, digesting selling pressure, and enhancing buying power, turning overall market sentiment optimistic.

On the daily chart, ASR has tested previous highs multiple times since April 9, repeatedly surging with higher volume and recording a strong bullish candle in the 1.2844–1.3301 range on April 16. Volume has risen significantly over previous averages, keeping trading activity high. The price has steadily broken above the 1.29 USDT resistance, and if it maintains above 1.28 USDT, it may further challenge the 1.33 USDT resistance; short-term support is concentrated in the 1.25–1.26 USDT area.

Although the quarterly reward realization mechanism has enhanced the project's transparency and participation willingness, as the July claim deadline approaches, the end of the reward locking period may trigger a wave of profit taking. Current trends are driven by short-term bullish factors, but attention should be paid to the risk of selling pressure during the claim peak, especially as market participants are increasingly inclined to lock in profits, which could result in a price pullback from higher levels.

AS Roma Fan Token

Safe-haven retreat + rising expectations of interest rate cuts, dollar bulls collectively retreat!

Eurozone: Stagflation risk builds after Iran conflict – Rabobank

USD: Stagflation Risk Supports Resilience – OCBC Bank

ECB: Limited case for renewed rate hikes – Commerzbank

Fed rate cut pushed back to late 2026 on war-related inflation risks

The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates at least once this year, supported by 71 economists.

Simkus: Cannot rule out the possibility of the European Central Bank raising interest rates this year.

USD: Recovery restrained as conflict risk seen low – DBS

On April 21, during a hearing in the U.S. Senate, current Federal Reserve Chairman Powell was mentioned 10 times.

CICC Research Report: Walsh's statements at the hearing have shown a tendency to cut interest rates.

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ASR price today is 1.29, with a live price change of -0.34 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade ASR on Bybit-eu.

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