Affected by credit tightening and rising risk aversion, BROCCOLI has experienced sluggish capital inflows in the short term, maintaining a weak consolidation between 0.0126 and 0.0133, with persistent contraction in trading volume. Key support is at 0.0126; if this level is lost, watch 0.0122. Given that the macro environment has not improved, it is recommended to hold and observe in the short term, strictly controlling downside risk. If risk aversion eases and volume picks up, look for rebound opportunities in the 0.0133–0.0135 range. In the medium to long term, it is necessary to dynamically track credit conditions and institutional allocation behavior.

Recently, renewed credit concerns have led to a significant rise in market risk aversion. In an environment characterized by credit tightening and institutional investor wait-and-see attitudes, appetite for high-risk assets is further suppressed. As a risk-carrying token, BROCCOLI is also struggling to attract sustained buying support under current conditions. Elevated inflation expectations and energy price volatility arising from geopolitical instability are prompting investors to allocate to more robust assets, suggesting continued short-term capital pressure for BROCCOLI.

After pulling back from a mid-March high above 0.0153, BROCCOLI has been fluctuating within the 0.0126–0.0133 range. On March 22, it briefly rebounded to 0.0137 before dropping back to around 0.0129; it closed at 0.01288 on the 24th with a notable decrease in volume compared to the previous day, indicating weak bullish momentum. The current price is below the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, suggesting a short-term bearish trend. The reliable support lies at 0.0126; if this level fails, the next test is at 0.0122.

Against the backdrop of compounded macro credit and inflation pressures, BROCCOLI may maintain range-bound trading in the short term, awaiting the easing of macro risk sentiment and a pickup in trading volume. If risk aversion reverses, possibly accompanied by a return of liquidity, the price could revisit the 0.0133–0.0135 resistance zone; otherwise, caution is warranted for further downside below 0.0126. In the medium to long term, ongoing attention to macro credit trends, energy prices, and institutional entry is required for a more accurate assessment of BROCCOLI’s trend evolution.

Broccoli

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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