Currently, the crypto asset market is driven by Asian demand, with rapid market capitalization expansion, which benefits COINDEPO’s liquidity and trading activity in the short term. Record highs in US equities and a rebound in the blockchain sector strengthen industry confidence, but US institutional funding remains cautious, potentially increasing volatility. Competition among derivatives and decentralized exchanges is intensifying. If COINDEPO can further enhance liquidity and product differentiation, it is likely to improve its market share. Caution is needed regarding the decline in real on-chain whale holdings, which may weaken long-term demand. It is recommended to seize the current market momentum in the short term, adjust positions flexibly, and pay attention to fluctuations and liquidity distribution above $92,000; in the medium and long term, maintain risk management, combine demand and valuation signals, and strengthen structural advantage deployment.

Recently, the total global crypto market capitalization rose from $3.06 trillion to $3.22 trillion, an increase of over 5%, signaling a rebound in overall risk appetite. Bitcoin and Ethereum broke through the $92,000 and $3,100 levels, respectively. This surge was mainly driven by demand from Asian markets, along with expectations regarding 'shadow Bitcoin reserves' and the use of USDT in oil trading, which has increased attention on emerging store-of-value assets. In the short term, this macro trend benefits COINDEPO’s market momentum and trading activity.

US stock markets have recently hit record highs, with obvious gains in the Dow Jones, S&P, and Nasdaq, while blockchain-related stocks have rebounded sharply. Institutions maintain an optimistic attitude toward crypto-related assets. Meanwhile, Coinbase's 12-month target price and rating have been upgraded, reflecting expectations for structural growth in platform-based businesses. However, persistent negative premiums indicate that US institutional risk appetite is still conservative, with signs of capital outflow and selling pressure. For COINDEPO, while there is an opportunity to follow market sentiment, caution is needed regarding the short-term capital constraints brought by US mainstream investors' prudence.

The competitive landscape of perpetual contract decentralized exchanges is undergoing significant reshaping. On one hand, leading platforms that previously accounted for 70% market share have been eroded by emerging DEXs to about 20%; on the other hand, long positions in the options market have increased sharply, especially call options and combination strategies, reflecting short covering and volatility upside bets. In this context, if COINDEPO can offer differentiated advantages in liquidity and derivatives functions, it stands to attract more trader participation.

On-chain data analysis shows that whale balances (excluding exchange addresses) continue to decrease, indicating a marginal slowdown in real demand. Although there are initial signs of market improvement, more data is needed to confirm the reliability of a trend reversal. For the long-term application of valuation models, demand contraction should be factored in to avoid relying solely on price cycles. For COINDEPO investors, it is necessary to combine short-term sentiment and medium- to long-term value perspectives, and be alert to potential downward pressure along the central axis.

COINDEPO

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