Driven by a recent rebound in macro risk appetite, BAN prices rapidly rebounded from 0.0595 to 0.0868, accompanied by a concurrent surge in trading volume, showing a clear boost in sentiment. However, significant volume at high levels may trigger profit-taking, and short-term caution is warranted. On the regulatory side, although Russia's strengthening of non-cash transaction controls has a limited direct impact on BAN, it may dampen overall market activity and put short-term risk appetite under pressure. Technically, the 0.0958–0.0964 zone serves as key resistance; a breakout here could expand the upward potential. On the downside, 0.072–0.074 is critical support; a break here would test the 0.069 area. Investors are advised to closely monitor trading volume and key price level breakouts, and flexibly adjust positions in response to regulatory developments.

Since April 12, BAN prices have climbed sharply from 0.0595 to the April 13 high of 0.0868, with trading volume up nearly 50% year-on-year during the same period. This rally is closely tied to the recovery of macro risk appetite—easing geopolitical tensions and risk asset rotations under the Fed’s hawkish stance together revived sentiment in the crypto market. Bitcoin’s initial breakout above key resistance led to gains in altcoins, bringing a short-term sentiment boost for BAN. However, concentrated volume at higher levels indicates a need for caution regarding profit-taking risks.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

The large-scale removal of bot accounts on social platforms has reduced fake promotions and mass spamming in the market, significantly decreasing hype in the short term. From April 9 to 11, both BAN's trading volume and price volatility contracted notably, indicating a slowdown in community activity. While such action can suppress short-term liquidity and sentiment for low-cap tokens, it supports a healthier information environment and improves genuine investor engagement in the long run.

X is intensifying its fight against bots, now detecting and banning 208 bots per minute, with cryptocurrency-related accounts heavily targeted. Crypto on X has long been plagued by bots spreading spam, fake giveaways, and coordinated shilling to manipulate visibility and engagement. Removing these bots will reduce artificial hype and engagement, causing short-term disruption but fostering a healthier, more authentic environment for crypto discussions in the long run.

208 Bots Per Minute Banned: Will Crypto X Be Purged?

Russia plans to prohibit cash transactions and strengthen exchange licensing starting July, aiming to intensify oversight on the flow of digital assets. Although BAN is mostly traded against USDT with limited direct impact, stricter regional regulations may weaken overall capital flows in the crypto market, prompting investors to adopt a wait-and-see attitude in the short term and thus creating downside pressure.

Russia will ban cash transactions for cryptocurrency exchanges, allowing only non-cash operations to strengthen control over digital asset flows. The new regulations, set to be adopted by July 2026, will require licensing for crypto market participants and prohibit crypto payments. Russian citizens can keep their crypto holdings but must notify tax authorities. Illegal crypto exchanges will face severe penalties, and transfers must occur between custodial wallets.

Russians won’t be allowed to trade crypto for cash under new proposals

On the daily chart, BAN hit the 0.0958–0.0964 range twice between April 13–14, forming a double-top pattern before retreating to 0.0824. This area is a mid-term key resistance. The critical support lies in the 0.072–0.074 zone; a break below this level could lead to a further pullback to 0.069–0.070. Technical indicators suggest volatility may increase at these key levels. Investors should focus on sustained volume after a breakout above 0.0955, as well as buying reaction following a drop below the 0.072 support.

Comedian

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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