Currently, DEFX benefits from the market sentiment rebound led by Bitcoin. In the short term, the upward atmosphere driven by spot demand is supporting prices and there is a probability of following mainstream asset rebounds. However, due to the negative divergence between leverage and price, if subsequent capital inflows and trading volumes do not continue to sync, the risk of price volatility and pullback increases. Investors are advised to strictly control their positions and focus on changes in on-chain trading volume and position growth rate, avoiding blindly chasing highs when trading volume has not expanded effectively. In the short term, pay attention to the performance of support and selling pressure in the $0.86–$1.04 USD region; if $0.82 is breached, increase risk hedging allocations.

Recently, the Bitcoin market has smoothly transitioned from last month’s deleveraging phase to mild expansion, with capital structure shifting from short liquidation to steady accumulation. The positive Z-Score indicator reflects improving market confidence; however, the negative divergence in leverage metrics shows that bullish growth is mainly driven by spot demand rather than borrowing. This healthy expansion led by spot activity reduces overall liquidation risk and fosters a favorable market climate for the entire crypto asset sector, providing short-term sentiment support for DEFX.

With Bitcoin’s structural evolution led by spot demand, investor risk appetite continues to rise, and capital is likely to further rotate from larger coins to mid- and small-cap assets in search of excess returns. As a project with certain liquidity and active community engagement, DEFX is expected to attract more attention during this round of capital rotation, and a short-term rebound in price is likely. However, it is important to monitor the consistency between trading volume and position growth. If initial momentum is driven solely by sentiment without sustained trading support, subsequent volatility may intensify.

Although the market expansion has shown a stable profile, the previously observed negative divergence between price and leverage metrics remains a concern. If volatility increases or lacks substantial capital follow-through, the risk of a rapid pullback will escalate. For DEFX, a price increase without corresponding on-chain transaction volume support or synchronized growth in open interest may lead to short-term pullback pressure. It is recommended to closely monitor changes in macro sentiment and the pace of capital inflows to guard against sudden reversals caused by excessive speculation.

DeFinity

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