DYOR is currently in a range-bound phase, with no clear structural breakout observed. Market momentum is primarily driven by sentiment, and trend-following remains the core strategy. Investors are advised to focus closely on key resistance (upper resistance level at 3.20) and support (lower support level at 2.80) zones. Once resistance is broken with increased volume, additional long positions can be considered after a confirmation pullback, with stop-losses dynamically adjusted upwards; if support is breached, a prompt stop-loss and exit are imperative to strictly control drawdown risk. Overall, a cautiously optimistic attitude is recommended, and counter-trend trading should be avoided.

The founder of Liquid Capital emphasizes the philosophy of following the trend: buying in bull markets and selling in bear markets, recognizing that it is impossible to precisely buy at the bottom or sell at the top. This viewpoint reinforces the momentum-driven nature of current market sentiment: when bullish sentiment dominates, participants are more inclined to chase upward moves; when bearish sentiment prevails, they are more likely to lock in profits or reduce positions. As a result, after news releases, short-term sentiment tends to be bullish, driving traders to continue adding positions upon confirmed upward trends and creating a positive feedback loop.

Based on the provided historical candlestick (K-line) data, there are currently no obvious signals of structural breakout or divergence, with the market mainly exhibiting a range-bound configuration. In such an environment, trend-following strategies become more important: when upward momentum strengthens and key resistance is effectively broken, long positions may be initiated after a pullback confirmation; if downward momentum prevails, it is advisable to exit decisively when rebounds fail and support levels are breached. It is recommended to use trailing stop-loss or take-profit tools to dynamically lock in gains and manage risk.

DYOR

The European Central Bank will raise interest rates in June as the Iran war drives inflation higher this year, a Bloomberg survey showed.

Important news from last night and this morning (April 16 - April 17).

Bank of Japan Governor: We need to simultaneously address rising energy prices and economic downturn risks; policy-making is very difficult at this stage.

ECB policymakers play down April rate hike chances

Declining energy prices have moved the euro-zone economy back toward the European Central Bank’s base case and may mean interest-rate increases aren’t needed, according to Governing Council member Primoz Dolenc.

Fed’s John Williams Signals Support for Holding Rates Steady Ahead of FOMC Meeting

Israeli envoy warns of reaction if threatened, straining Israel-Iran relations

Trump-Meloni rift strains US-Europe ties amid NATO withdrawal speculation

Federal Reserve Governor Milian: Currently, it seems that there may only be three rate cuts remaining for the rest of the year.

Milan: Prefers to cut interest rates 3 times this year, but possibly 4 times.

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