ETH has rebounded after bottoming out since the end of March and is currently positioned in the critical resistance zone at $2,400, with significant divergence between bulls and bears, leading to intensified short-term volatility. If ETH can hold support at the $2,100–$2,200 level and successfully break above $2,450, expectations for a continued rally will be reinforced. A slight pullback in CPI temporarily improved macro risk appetite, but high inflation and geopolitical uncertainties still pose the risk of intermittent corrections. Institutions continue to accumulate ETFs, and medium- to long-term allocation demand remains strong. Strategy recommendation: continue to monitor support at $2,100; add positions if price breaks above $2,450; consider gradual position building within the consolidation range, and manage position size to cope with short-term liquidation risks.

From the daily chart, ETH began a rebound after forming a bottom near $1,980 at the end of March. In early April, it retested support at $2,100 and climbed to a high of $2,273 on April 7. On April 12, ETH pulled back briefly to $2,191, but then recorded a strong rally on April 13 with a large bullish candle, reaching as high as $2,394. Meanwhile, trading volume expanded significantly, indicating strong bullish momentum. The current price has returned to the upper Bollinger band and is close to previous highs; in the short term, attention should be paid to resistance pressure at $2,400–$2,450, while the $2,100–$2,200 range provides critical support below.

Bitcoin has surged to around $72,400 but remains within a key supply zone between $63,100 and $73,200, where a significant amount of BTC was last purchased. Most investors in this range are now profitable and likely to defend their positions, creating strong psychological support. Beyond this zone, supply is thin until $82,000, suggesting low resistance but uncertain price action ahead. Ethereum shows similar clustering at key levels.

Bitcoin Surges To $72,000, But Remains Stuck In Key Supply Zone

On-chain data indicates that if the price falls below $2,170, over $800 million in long positions could be liquidated; conversely, a breakout above the $2,309–$2,395 range could trigger forced liquidation of $400 to $800 million in short positions. The current price is hovering at the edge of this zone, and the divergence between bulls and bears is notable. Short-term moves may be amplified by liquidation effects. Should bulls hold support and break key resistance above, it will further strengthen market confidence.

According to ChainCatcher and Coinglass data, if ETH falls below $2,170, the total long position liquidation on major centralized exchanges (CEX) will reach $813 million. Conversely, if ETH surpasses $2,395, the total short position liquidation on major CEX will reach $411 million.

Data: If ETH falls below $2,170, the total long liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $813 million.

According to ChainCatcher citing Coinglass data, if ETH surpasses $2,309, the total short position liquidations on major centralized exchanges (CEX) will reach $798 million. Conversely, if ETH falls below $2,093, the total long position liquidations on major CEXs will amount to $581 million.

Data: If ETH breaks $2,309, the total short liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $798 million.

The US March core CPI rose 0.2% month-over-month, lower than market expectations of 0.3%, easing concerns about further Federal Reserve tightening and boosting risk appetite in digital assets. However, overall inflation remains elevated, with the March year-on-year rate at 3.3%, reflecting the impact of geopolitical conflicts on living costs and potentially intensifying short-term price volatility. Subtle changes in the inflation curve will continue to influence investor sentiment and determine the next phase of risk asset allocation.

The total crypto market cap rose 1.3% to $2.55T, with BTC up 1.5% to $72,900 and ETH up 2.4% to $2,250. US core CPI cooled to 0.2% vs 0.3% expected, easing Fed hawkishness and sparking a Bitcoin rally. US lawmakers negotiate a market-structure bill on stablecoin rewards, while Hong Kong issued its first stablecoin licenses. Bhutan sold 70% of its sovereign Bitcoin, and a federal judge halted Arizona’s case against Kalshi. Binance offered UAE staff temporary relocation amid Middle East tensions. Worldcoin will cut WLD daily unlocks by 43% in July.

Digital Assets Gain; Core Inflation Data Surprises to the Downside

Bitcoin and Ethereum prices are under scrutiny after the release of the first US CPI data since the US-Iran war began. US inflation in March rose to 3.3%, matching expectations and reflecting increased living costs due to the Middle East conflict. This inflation report suggests a potential spike in volatility for Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements.

Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Forecast After Release of First US CPI Print Since US-Iran War

On April 10, Ethereum spot ETFs saw a single-day net inflow of nearly $65 million, with BlackRock’s ETHA accounting for over $53 million, indicating sustained institutional enthusiasm for Ethereum allocation. As the regulatory environment becomes clearer and ETF scale effects emerge, long-term capital demand for ETH is expected to persist, providing strong foundational support for prices and gradually building positive inventory through market consolidation.

On April 10, Ethereum spot ETFs saw a total net inflow of $64.95 million. BlackRock's ETHA led with a single-day net inflow of $53.70 million, bringing its total historical net inflow to $1.1731 billion. BlackRock's Staked ETH ETF ETHB followed with a $8.10 million net inflow, totaling $37.7 million in historical net inflows.

Ethereum spot ETFs saw a net inflow of $64.9489 million yesterday, with BlackRock's ETHA experiencing a net inflow of $53.6982 million.

Ethereum spot ETFs experienced a net inflow of $64.95 million, led by BlackRock’s ETHA. Pakistan's U.S.-Iran negotiation format remains uncertain, while Bhutan cut Bitcoin holdings by 70% and may have stopped mining. Iran revealed its negotiation team. A whale moved 1.442 billion NOM tokens to Binance. Bitdeer sold 165 BTC, holding none currently. Arthur Hayes anticipates a major crisis prompting Fed action. Gemini may convert a loan into equity amid market contraction. WLFI repaid a $25 million loan.

Planet Afternoon News

Ethereum

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