At the current stage, GFY is driven by a rebound in liquidity, resulting in stronger short-term bounce momentum, yet the overall macro environment remains bearish. Technically, prices are exhibiting range-bound consolidation, and a clear breakout signal has not yet appeared. Investors are advised to follow the trend, focus on the gains and losses of resistance (X) and support (Y) levels in the short term, enforce strict take-profit and stop-loss rules, and reduce risks from emotional trading; medium- to long-term holders should wait for confirmation of industry fundamentals and capital flow before adding positions, prioritize following mainstream capital direction, and avoid high leverage or contrarian trades.

Recently, the market has shown signs of liquidity recovery, with multiple on-chain indicators suggesting a gradual improvement in capital flows. While trading volume and transaction fees have not yet surged to bull market highs, there are signs of bottoming out and recovery, providing support for short-term token prices. From a sentiment perspective, the market is presenting opportunities for a rebound from the bottom, and under continuous liquidity injection, GFY is expected to experience a technical rally. However, such rebounds rely mainly on market sentiment and capital flows and are unlikely to reverse the overall bearish macro environment.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Top institutions emphasize that trend is king and believe that buying in bull markets and selling in bear markets is the core principle, since it is impossible to precisely time the bottom or top. This aligns with the value investing philosophy: capturing the major trend and reducing individual forecasting risks. At present, GFY investors should focus on following the trend to avoid excessive speculation and high volatility. For short-term bears, stop-loss at lows helps control risk; while medium- to long-term bulls should pay attention to industry fundamentals and incremental capital after the trend is confirmed.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

From a candlestick framework perspective, GFY prices have recently consolidated multiple times within the same range, with no clear breakout signal yet. The first resistance level depends on selling pressure above, and the first support level acts as the bottom line for short-term pullbacks. If the price breaks above resistance with strong volume, the short-term bullish momentum will be more sustainable; if it falls back and breaks below support again, bearish pressure may persist. Traders are advised to set strict take-profit and stop-loss levels, manage position sizes amid short-term emotional fluctuations, and combine trend investing strategies, with a priority on following mainstream capital flows.

go fu*k yourself.

Hassett says Powell’s reappointment could delay Fed rate cuts, with crypto watching closely

U.S. PCE Inflation Rises to 3-Year High, Bitcoin Slides

US Treasury yields spike to highest levels in a year, adding a new problem for Bitcoin liquidity.

European Central Bank policymakers are likely to raise interest rates at their next meeting in June unless there are positive developments on energy prices and ending the Iran war.

The European Central Bank's inclination to raise interest rates has strengthened, with Lagarde emphasizing increased risks.

European Central Bank officials stated that if energy prices do not ease, interest rates will be raised in June.

Hassett: It's time for Powell to leave the Federal Reserve.

Here’s why the crypto market is falling today

Lagarde speech: Interest rates best tool we can use

The Fed’s PCE Data Used to Measure Inflation Has Been Released! Here’s Bitcoin’s (BTC) Initial Reaction!

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