JUSTICE's market analysis indicates that current market sentiment shows signs of marginal recovery, but a reversal has yet to be confirmed. Short-term volatility remains high, and the battle between bulls and bears is intensifying. Based on changes in trading volume and capital flows, investors are advised to closely monitor key support and resistance zones, paying short-term attention to how prices break through recent highs (with a 10% fluctuation regarded as effective). For mid- to long-term operations, trend-following should be the core strategy: accumulate positions in batches after confirming the main trend, strictly implement dynamic stop-loss and position management, and avoid heavy positioning when trend-chasing or panic-selling signals are unclear. The overall strategy should prioritize defense and trend-following, aiming to control drawdown and capture the main rally segment.

Recently, market sentiment has shown marginal improvement, with bullish momentum slightly accumulating, though a full reversal has not yet been confirmed. The subtle uptick in capital flows and trading rhythm suggests that market participants are cautiously optimistic about the resurgence of buying. During this stage, volatility is often accompanied by tentative rises and pullbacks. If there is insufficient trading volume and sustained price support, reversal risks persist. Investors should closely watch the bull-bear battle around previous highs and lows.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Before the bull-bear boundary becomes clear, it is especially crucial to follow the principle of trend-following. Reasonable timing of positions should be based on the main trend—add to positions during bull markets to follow the upward rhythm, and reduce holdings decisively during bear markets to prevent risk escalation. Since it is difficult to accurately predict tops or bottoms, a prudent strategy should focus on accumulating positions in batches and taking profit after medium- to long-term trend confirmation, paired with dynamic stop-loss and position management to optimize returns under controlled risk.

Justice for Pnut and Fred

Ouch. The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield just hit 5% and bitcoin may pay the price.

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The Federal Reserve maintains the interest rate at 3.5%-3.75%, continuing its wait-and-see approach.

Morgan Stanley delays Fed rate cut expectations to next year, inflation pressures remain high.

The Powell era comes to an end: What has he left behind?

Reminder: Please pay special attention to the following (all times are in Beijing time).

US growth likely picked up in first quarter, but consumer spending probably cooled

Morgan Stanley: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026 and cut rates in 2027.

Bitcoin Slips to $75K as Federal Reserve Holds Rates, Dimming Warsh “Pivot Party” Hopes

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