WOLF is currently in a corrective rebound phase. Although short-term sentiment has warmed up, trading volume has not increased significantly, indicating limited capital inflows. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic. In the medium and long term, given macro liquidity constraints and on-chain capital trends, there is no clear bull market inflection point, and there may be sell-off risks after the rebound. It is recommended to pay attention to the key support range of 0.11-0.13, adopt stepwise position-building and stop-loss strategies, prioritize drawdown risk control, and wait for macro trends to become clear before increasing positions.

Recently, the overall market has seen a rare upward movement, with Bitcoin breaking above $90,000 and most altcoins strengthening, which has improved market liquidity and revealed short-term rebound momentum. As an altcoin with some attention, WOLF may receive certain interest in this bullish environment; however, trading volume and transaction fees have not expanded commensurately, suggesting buying remains tentative. Overall, the market is still in a 'price recovery' phase, with investor sentiment rising from extreme fear to cautious optimism. While there are short-term rebound opportunities, momentum is unlikely to last, and one should be alert to pullback risks as sentiment fades.

At the start of the year, the crypto market saw a rare upward breakthrough with BTC surpassing $90,000 and major altcoins like ETH and SOL rising. Several altcoins, including PEPE and IP, surged over 20%. However, key indicators show the market is still in a "price repair" phase with overall market cap below previous highs, a low altseason index, and fear-dominated sentiment. While some view this as a buying opportunity amid improving liquidity and macroeconomic developments, caution remains advised.

Speculation sentiment rises again at the beginning of the year, is the altcoin season repeating?

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Although the liquidity recovery and macro tailwinds may provide support for the market, analysis of on-chain transaction fees and capital inflow trends suggests that there is still no clear macrocycle inflection point, with long-term market trends leaning toward caution. Furthermore, the logic of mature investors profiting through value and trend hints that the current stage may be the 'final struggle of short sellers', and rapid sell-off pressure may follow after shorts exit. For WOLF, medium- and long-term positioning should be based on the project’s fundamentals and market positioning, combined with capital flows and liquidity changes. A stepwise position-building strategy with clear stop-losses should be used to avoid excessive downside risk during market style shifts.

Landwolf

If the White House uses dollar swap lines to bail out favored allies or attaches geopolitical strings to the loans, it will damage a backstop that has headed off disaster in the last two global crises, says @csmart (via @opinion)

The ECB’s rate decision this week provides more time to assess whether the Middle East crisis triggers prolonged inflation, Martin Kocher says.

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The ECB will need to increase interest rates in June if there isn’t a significant change in the outlook, says Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel

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Standard Chartered Bank predicts the European Central Bank will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in June.

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Tokyo’s key inflation gauge unexpectedly slowed and remained below the Bank of Japan’s target, supporting policymakers’ cautious approach toward resuming interest-rate hikes.

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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 95%, and in July it is 87.9%.

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