PGOLD is currently influenced by market sentiment in the short term, showing a narrow-range sideways trend with trading volume not significantly expanding. There are short-term volatility opportunities, but there is pressure for a pullback at high levels. It is recommended to pay attention to changes in capital flows. In the long term, the weakening of the US dollar and increased demand for gold as a safe haven strengthen its value as an anchored asset, supporting a medium- to long-term allocation logic. Key risks to watch include liquidity risks; positions should be reasonably controlled, and close monitoring of market depth and capital concentration is needed to prevent tail risk. Stage trading suggestions: participate on dips in the short term, with upward resistance at 9.50-10.20 and key support at 7.80-8.20; in the long term, core positions may be built in batches.

At the beginning of the year, the crypto market saw rotational increases in Bitcoin and major coins. Although overall sentiment has shown signs of recovery, fear still dominates. Recently, PGOLD's candlestick chart displays a narrow sideways range, and while trading volume occasionally increases, there has not been a clear breakout. Considering the market is still in a price recovery phase, short-term long and short forces are intertwined. PGOLD is expected to experience phased volatility following capital flows, but pressure for a pullback at high levels should be watched.

At the start of the year, the crypto market saw a rare upward breakthrough with BTC surpassing $90,000 and major altcoins like ETH and SOL rising. Several altcoins, including PEPE and IP, surged over 20%. However, key indicators show the market is still in a "price repair" phase with overall market cap below previous highs, a low altseason index, and fear-dominated sentiment. While some view this as a buying opportunity amid improving liquidity and macroeconomic developments, caution remains advised.

Speculation sentiment rises again at the beginning of the year, is the altcoin season repeating?

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

QCP's market analysis on January 5 highlights a strengthening crypto market in Asia, with Bitcoin and Ethereum surpassing $92,000 and $3,100 respectively, driven by US actions in Venezuela, year-end tax-loss trading, and rising crypto legislation expectations. Speculation about Venezuela holding significant "shadow Bitcoin reserves" and using USDT in oil trades could make it a major sovereign BTC holder. Options data show a bullish shift, with increased call options and straddle strategies indicating short covering and bets on upward volatility.

QCP: Venezuela Situation and Options Funding Resonance Strengthen Bullish Expectations in the Crypto Market

The weakening of the US dollar has provided logical support for gold to again become the best performing asset, leading institutions and large investors to increase their holdings of tokenized metals such as XAUt and PAXG. As a derivative anchored to gold, PGOLD's intrinsic value is strengthened. Historically, large surges in gold and silver prices offer further proof. In the long term, gold's safe-haven attributes and its role as an inflation hedge will continue to provide solid support for PGOLD.

Ray Dalio highlights a major economic cycle shift where the US dollar's decline leads to a restructuring of gold's dominance. US stocks have significantly underperformed compared to non-US markets and gold, with gold emerging as the best-performing major asset.

Ray Dalio: The Great Cycle Fission and the Reconstruction of Gold Hegemony Amid the Dollar's Retreat

A whale recently spent $12.42 million buying gold tokens XAUt and PAXG. Since early October, the whale has purchased 2,371.4 XAUt and 559.7 PAXG, averaging $4,239 each. With rising gold prices, the whale has already gained a profit of $410,000.

A certain whale recently spent $12.42 million to purchase gold tokens XAUt and PAXG.

In 2025, gold and silver surged significantly, leading the asset rankings, while tech stocks entered a consolidation phase after reaching new highs. Bitcoin, after a brief peak, declined and recorded negative returns, losing its previous appeal.

The Global Top 10 Asset Shakeup in 2025: Why Has Bitcoin Lost Its Shine?

Despite a rebound in trading enthusiasm in Asian markets, with implied volatility and call option allocation significantly increasing, short-term contract market liquidity remains insufficient, making concentrated liquidity and head effects more likely. Under low-liquidity conditions, PGOLD may face more intense spread fluctuations. Investors should pay attention to market depth and capital concentration to prevent unilateral shocks caused by sudden events.

Pleasing Gold

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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PGOLD price today is 4825.86, with a live price change of 1.24 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade PGOLD on Bybit-eu.

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