At the macro level, the phase-out of geopolitical risks has led to a recovery in risk appetite, which is providing positive momentum for Q and maintaining a short-term upward trend with oscillations. Technically, the 0.0108–0.0110 range serves as a key resistance area; if there is a breakout with increased volume, the price may test the previous high of 0.0119. Otherwise, a breakdown below the 0.0092–0.0090 support will trigger a new round of correction. Considering the retail market's risk-aversion tendency and potential external risks, it is recommended to focus on volume-price resonance in the short term, exercise caution with buying at highs, adjust positions dynamically, and control the risk of pullback.

Recent ceasefires in the Middle East and progress in US-Iran nuclear negotiations have effectively eased geopolitical risks, suppressed oil prices, and driven a rebound in global risk assets. The technology and artificial intelligence sectors attracted capital inflows, and the Nasdaq has climbed for consecutive days, with digital assets also rebounding. As one of the major altcoins, Q experienced significant volume-driven rallies on April 11 and April 15, coinciding with heightened market sentiment, reaching intraday highs of 0.0115 and 0.0119, demonstrating that short-term risk appetite has had a noticeable boosting effect.

The Middle East ceasefire and US-Iran nuclear talks progress have eased geopolitical risks, pressuring oil prices and boosting global risk assets. The Nasdaq set a record 12-day winning streak, with tech and AI sectors attracting capital. Bitcoin rebounded above $74,000 amid steady ETF flows and balanced leverage liquidations. However, Democratic opposition delays Fed nominee Wash's hearing, increasing leadership uncertainty and market volatility risks.

Bitget UEX Daily Report | Hopes for Middle East Peace Rise, Nasdaq Hits Record 12 Consecutive Gains, Anthropic Releases New AI Model

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Looking at the daily chart, after Q reached its 0.0119 high on April 15, it regressed and established a base between 0.0095–0.0090, with closing prices stabilizing at the 0.0095 level over the past three days. Trading volume has gradually contracted from the peak, Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the MACD fast and slow lines are becoming parallel. In the short term, if pressure at the 0.0108–0.0110 resistance range is broken with amplified volume, it may sustain the previous upward momentum; conversely, a breakdown below the 0.0092–0.0090 support could usher in the next round of correction.

Bitcoin recently surpassed $75,000 for the first time in 73 days, facing resistance near $78,000 with $74,000 seen as a critical support level for further gains. Market views diverge: bears cite weak macro liquidity and reliance on short-covering, while bulls highlight strong whale accumulation and potential breakthroughs above key moving averages. The broader market shows mixed signals amid geopolitical developments and fluctuating investor sentiment.

Trading moment: BTC encountered resistance at 78K, and it needs to hold 74K to aim for a breakthrough.

Market research data indicates that retail investors have conducted large-scale selling of Ethereum during the recent bull market, reflecting cautious sentiment toward continued gains. If oil prices rise again due to volatility in the Gulf region, overall risk appetite may be curtailed, causing small funds to return to safe haven assets and exerting staged selling pressure on Q. At the same time, uncertainty regarding senior Federal Reserve personnel is also intensifying market volatility, so investors need to be wary of short-term sentiment shifts that could impact prices.

Due to Trump's order to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices surged, US stock futures fell, and the dollar strengthened. This escalation followed failed US-Iran talks in Pakistan, disappointing investors. Elias Haddad from Brown Brothers Harriman noted this will likely reignite risk aversion this week. Investors are also focused on the upcoming Q1 earnings season, seeking corporate leaders' views on rising risks.

Earnings season intertwined with geopolitical crises, market risk aversion reignites.

Quack AI

Why Kevin Warsh should become Bitcoin’s most impactful Fed chair yet

Bitcoin and Ethereum slide after Iran says Strait of Hormuz is shut

UBS Analysts Have Stated That They Expect the Fed to Cut Interest Rates Twice More This Year

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Trump: US-Iran talks progress as Iran suspends nuclear program

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Quack AI Price: Q Live Price Today | Q Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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