Driven by a rebound in macro risk appetite and major coins breaking through key resistance levels, TRUTH has recently stabilized and rebounded with increased trading volume in the 0.0095–0.0096 range. The daily chart structure shows effective support below, with the 0.0106–0.0107 zone acting as the dividing line between bulls and bears. If TRUTH continues to break out with strong volume and holds above this area, a new round of upward movement may follow; otherwise, it is likely to remain in a consolidation range. Investors should be wary of short-term volatility risks that may arise from distorted signals on oracle platforms within the ecosystem. It is advised to focus on structural market opportunities while strengthening diversification and dynamic risk management.

According to the BitMart Research Weekly Report, the global risk asset market is catching its breath as geopolitical tensions ease while the Federal Reserve maintains its hawkish stance. The surge of capital reallocating to the crypto market has fueled a strong rebound in major coins, providing short-term sentiment-driven support for niche tokens such as TRUTH and driving its recent consecutive high-volume rebounds.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Bitcoin reached a four-week high and, after touching key support, is consolidating, with negative gamma effects amplifying short-term volatility. In this environment of tug-of-war between bulls and bears, TRUTH opened with a gap-up on April 17, briefly spiking to 0.01114 before sharply pulling back. This shows a typical attempt at a breakout, indicating that the derivative market atmosphere is clearly influencing the surge-and-retreat rhythm of altcoins.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

On the daily chart, the 0.0095–0.0096 range has repeatedly formed solid support, effectively putting a floor under prices with massive trading volumes. The immediate resistance above is 0.0106–0.0107, which is close to the recent high zone. Referencing key moving average suppression logic seen in major coins, if TRUTH breaks through and holds above this area, it will usher in the next upward phase; otherwise, it might revert to a consolidation pattern.

Polymarket, often cited by the media as a 'truth machine,' sometimes produces collective judgments superior to traditional polls, yet can also mislead the market when amplified by large holders' information asymmetry. If similar mechanism errors occur within the TRUTH ecosystem, uncertainty in on-chain oracle signals will intensify, reminding investors that risk management is as important as value-based opportunities.

An anonymous trader on Polymarket profited over $400,000 by betting on the capture of Venezuelan President Maduro before a secret U.S. military operation. Polymarket is hailed as a "truth machine" for its collective betting odds, which often outperform polls, especially in major elections. However, analysis reveals its accuracy varies widely across markets, with poor performance in sports and many other areas. The platform's odds can be influenced by wealthy traders with private information, raising concerns as media outlets widely disseminate these odds as facts, potentially affecting real-world events and public perception.

Polymarket is not an all-powerful "truth machine."

Swarm Network

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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Live chart for Swarm Network to USD conversion. Check out TRUTH to USD prices in real time. Convert, buy, sell, and trade Swarm Network on Bybit-eu.

Swarm Network Price: TRUTH Live Price Today | TRUTH Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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TRUTH price today is 0.01, with a live price change of -1.92 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade TRUTH on Bybit-eu.

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