Considering the current market environment, BULL is benefiting in the short term from liquidity recovery and warmer sentiment, and the phase of pressure has been effectively absorbed, with solid support above $180. Macro and industry resonance have clearly triggered a bullish market trend, with long-term capital continuing to flow in, strengthening the bullish structure. Rumor clarification and fading negative disturbances further improve risk appetite. It is recommended to follow the trend, hold positions, and pay attention to breakout of trading ranges. Strategically, consider entering on dips but beware of tail-end extreme risks.

CryptoQuant analysts noted early signs of improvement entering the crypto market, with short-term sentiment recovering from caution. As overall bullish sentiment rises, BULL’s short-term buying interest is likely to be activated. Market participants’ expectations for liquidity recovery and trend reversal are set to provide BULL with phase support.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

The founder of Liquid Capital emphasized that the current macro and industry environment is jointly driving a bullish market structure, making trend investing superior to pure speculation. The approach of balancing value and trend means that as the upward trend continues, BULL is expected to keep attracting long-term capital deployments. Although bears are making their last efforts, as the market steadily improves, selling pressure will be gradually digested and the bullish advantage will emerge.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua stated that respected investors like Buffett profit from value and trends, not speculation. He affirmed that 2024 is set to be a bull market due to macro and industry factors beyond individual control. Short sellers are making a final effort but face losses—exiting early means small losses, exiting late means large losses. After a month of market volatility, optimism will prevail while pessimists lag behind.

Yi Lihua: Trend is better than speculation, the bull market is set, bears face "small losses early, big losses late."

Regarding the rumors of insider trading at Polymarket, Bubblemaps analysis revealed multiple loopholes in the evidence chain. After the market’s misunderstanding was clarified, negative sentiment may significantly dissipate. As uncertainty fades, investor risk appetite is expected to further rise, providing additional sentiment support for BULL.

Bubblemaps analysis challenges claims of insider trading on Polymarket, highlighting flaws in linking a Polymarket insider's receipt of about 250 SOL from Coinbase to a prior similar deposit with a 99% correlation. They point out issues like large time gaps, ignoring other assets, and multiple matching cases within the same day. Deposits could stem from various sources or older transactions. They warn that improper use of time analysis can lead to incorrect conclusions.

Bubblemaps: Some analyses targeting Polymarket insiders in the market are flawed.

Tron Bull

If the White House uses dollar swap lines to bail out favored allies or attaches geopolitical strings to the loans, it will damage a backstop that has headed off disaster in the last two global crises, says @csmart (via @opinion)

The ECB’s rate decision this week provides more time to assess whether the Middle East crisis triggers prolonged inflation, Martin Kocher says.

Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH risks decline as inflation rises

The ECB will need to increase interest rates in June if there isn’t a significant change in the outlook, says Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel

ECB Increasingly Likely to Hike in Near Future, Muller Says

Standard Chartered Bank predicts the European Central Bank will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in June.

SoSo Macro | US Q1 GDP Misses Expectations; March PCE Hits Three-Year High

Tokyo’s key inflation gauge unexpectedly slowed and remained below the Bank of Japan’s target, supporting policymakers’ cautious approach toward resuming interest-rate hikes.

Wall Street Breakfast | May 1, 2026

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 95%, and in July it is 87.9%.

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