At the current stage, VAULT benefits from a general recovery in liquidity and marginal improvement in market sentiment. In the short term, there may be structural trading opportunities; for potential breakout zones, attention should be paid to volume and on-chain data resonance. Aggressively chasing rallies still requires caution. The medium- to long-term value restoration depends on whether the project can optimize its ecosystem and achieve real-world application. It is recommended to prioritize observation of on-chain activity and governance progress. Without core drivers, it will be difficult for VAULT to escape a weak recovery pattern, and pullback risks should not be ignored.

At the beginning of the year, Bitcoin broke through the $90,000 mark, and most mainstream altcoins also rose, signaling an initial recovery in market liquidity. However, judging from overall market capitalization levels and the altcoin season index, the market is still in a recovery phase, and investor sentiment remains cautious. This round of increases resembles a temporary surge following liquidity release, rather than a strong reversal confirming the bottom. In the short term, the market oscillates within a pattern of 'slow rise and slow repair', with defensive styles prevailing, and risks remain high for aggressive pursuit of gains.

At the start of the year, the crypto market saw a rare upward breakthrough with BTC surpassing $90,000 and major altcoins like ETH and SOL rising. Several altcoins, including PEPE and IP, surged over 20%. However, key indicators show the market is still in a "price repair" phase with overall market cap below previous highs, a low altseason index, and fear-dominated sentiment. While some view this as a buying opportunity amid improving liquidity and macroeconomic developments, caution remains advised.

Speculation sentiment rises again at the beginning of the year, is the altcoin season repeating?

Against the backdrop of improving overall market sentiment, VAULT— as a mid- and small-cap project— is also likely to attract short-term attention. Previously, other altcoins experienced phase-based surges of over 20%, providing a window for sentiment linkage to VAULT. However, as market sentiment remains suppressed by fear indicators, the project needs to show substantive positive developments or sustained increases in trading volume to further catalyze a price breakout from the current range-bound pattern.

Although some analysts have pointed out initial signs of trend improvement in the market, persistence still requires further data validation. If VAULT can optimize its on-chain ecosystem and governance mechanisms during this liquidity recovery and achieve real adoption in broader application scenarios, it may see valuation restoration in the subsequent bull market. Conversely, if it remains at the conceptual stage, it will struggle to withstand the pullback pressure brought by the overall recovery pattern.

Vault Terminal

JPY: Neutral rate debate supports gradual gains – Commerzbank

Analysis: Bitcoin surged to $73K after the CPI release, with the market focusing on whether it can retest the high range.

US: Energy shock complicates Fed path – Commerzbank

The initial expected one-year inflation rate in the US for April is 4.8%, with an expectation of 4.3%.

U.S. April one-year inflation expectation preliminary reading at 4.8%, expected 4.3%

Hassett: The Federal Reserve still has room to cut interest rates, outlook remains stable.

The market expects only about a one-third probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points this year.

Hassett: The Federal Reserve still has room to cut interest rates, and this outlook will be very solid.

Hassett: The Strait of Hormuz can be reopened within two months, and the Federal Reserve still has room to cut interest rates.

Economist: Core inflation is weak but pressure is lagging, inflation remains sticky.

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