Driven by Bitcoin's strong breakout, ZBT's short-term bullish sentiment has notably strengthened, with daily highs being surpassed and trading volume expanding, maintaining a bullish pattern. However, caution is advised: if Bitcoin falls below $74,000, ZBT may see a short-term pullback, with primary support at $0.113 and $0.108. In the medium-to-long term, continued institutional inflows and recovery in macro risk appetite provide fundamental logic for a value rebound in ZBT. Suggestion: In the short term, pay attention to the performance at the mentioned support levels on dips; medium-term holders should focus on capital flows into mainstream coins and maintain a bullish outlook as long as the trend is unbroken.

Recently, Bitcoin has repeatedly tested the $75,000 level and achieved an effective breakout, triggering a positive feedback loop in the market. As one of the altcoins highly correlated with Bitcoin, ZBT has shown a sustained increase in volume and price since April 14th, racking up a nearly 17% gain in just four trading days. Daily charts show ZBT hitting new highs with significantly increased volume, indicating that bullish momentum is gradually accumulating and the market expects the uptrend to continue.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Despite the current bullish market stance, the derivatives market still presents a negative gamma effect, meaning downward volatility can get amplified. Although Bitcoin recently hit new highs, perpetual contract funding rates remain negative and open interest has declined, showing risk-averse sentiments persist. After ZBT's one-sided surge, overbought risks have also surfaced; if Bitcoin corrects to below $74,000 in the short term, ZBT is likely to follow with a pullback. Focus on the intra-day support levels at $0.113 and $0.108.

Bitcoin rose to around $74,935 during the Asian session, up 0.7% in 24 hours and 5.4% weekly, driven mainly by spot buying rather than broad risk appetite. Derivatives markets show caution: perpetual contract funding rates remain negative, open interest declines, and options indicate higher demand for downside protection. This suggests a rebound, not a trend reversal, amid ongoing risk aversion and cautious sentiment despite gains.

Analysis: Bitcoin strengthens along with US stocks, but the options market still bets on downside risk.

Crypto analyst Axel Adler Jr noted on April 12 that the current Bitcoin pullback is milder compared to similar phases in the 2017-18 and 2021-22 bear markets. However, the retracement is not yet sufficient to confirm a bottom. With past cycles showing deeper declines, the market is closer to a mild bear market rather than a full recovery, indicating a pause rather than a trend reversal.

Analysis: It cannot be asserted that the BTC bottom has been formed; the market is approaching a mild bear market.

Against expectations of a Fed policy pivot and easing geopolitical risks, global risk assets have rebounded, and institutional capital continues to flow into the crypto market. Bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of over $500 million in a single month, providing stable capital support for prices. As a secondary token, ZBT also benefits from the wider market rotation; if Bitcoin stays above its key moving averages, ZBT is expected to see a new round of value recovery in the medium to long term.

Bitcoin has risen 8% in the past two weeks, reaching around $74,000. Max Kahn, CEO of Digital Wealth Partners, identifies three key factors for the next surge: energy-driven inflation trends, Federal Reserve monetary policy expectations favoring easing if inflation is controlled, and continued institutional inflows, with Bitcoin ETFs recording $523 million net inflow in April, extending strong momentum since March.

Analysis: Bitcoin "Fear Has Receded," Three Major Catalysts Support Price Surge to $75,000

In Q1 2026, the Ethereum to Bitcoin price ratio (ETH/BTC) rebounded to 0.0313, a three-month high, indicating a recovery in the crypto market. Ethereum network users grew 82% year-on-year to 284,000, with transaction volume reaching 200.4 million. Stablecoin supply exceeded $180 billion, about 60% of the global market. Analysts suggest that if ETH/BTC closes above 0.035 weekly, it signals continued inflows into Ethereum and high-risk assets. Bitcoin remains above $74,000, supported by over $56 billion inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs.

Analysis: Ethereum-Bitcoin price ratio rebounds, overall crypto market recovers

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

ZEROBASE

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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ZBT price today is 0.12, with a live price change of 2.30 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade ZBT on Bybit-eu.

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