Currently, SWAN is driven by a recovery in market sentiment and is likely to rebound in the short term and test key resistance levels (it is recommended to watch the $X.XX-$X.XX range). However, due to insufficient trading volume, caution is required against false breakouts and significant volatility risks. Given liquidity constraints, unilateral market moves may be amplified, and emotional selling pressure cannot be ruled out during pullbacks. It is advised to strictly control position sizes and stop-losses. From a medium- to long-term perspective, rising macro-level risk aversion increases SWAN’s hedging value, offering potential allocation opportunities. Close attention should be paid to macro hotspots and the flow of mainstream funds going forward.

Recently, market sentiment has shown initial signs of improvement, which may attract speculative capital back into SWAN, driving the price to bottom out within the short-term range and test key resistance levels. However, before the trend is confirmed by increased trading volume, traders should be wary of the risks associated with false breakouts when volume fails to expand in tandem. Pay attention to emotional selling during pullbacks, and maintain disciplined position sizing and stop-loss management.

Currently, the overall depth of transactions in the short-term crypto market remains low, making it easy to amplify unilateral price movements. SWAN may experience sharp rallies followed by rapid pullbacks when small amounts of capital enter the market. Meanwhile, as attention to macro political and economic events increases, tokens with hedging attributes could gain allocation opportunities. In the medium to long term, it is important to monitor the trend of mainstream narratives shifting toward the macro hedging sector.

Black Swan

Market pricing shows a decline in bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut in 2026.

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US unemployment rate in March is 4.3%, expected 4.4%

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