Currently, the HOBBES market sentiment is marginally warming up, with improvements in trading volume and capital inflows. Prices remain resilient, supported by key levels, and show potential to break out of consolidation ahead of the curve. For medium-term upside, attention should be paid to the macro capital environment and project developments—if both resonate, it could drive sustained price appreciation, with primary focus on major resistance above. In the short term, a phase of short covering may offer rapid rally opportunities, but amid high volatility, it is advised to test with small positions, deploy in batches, and use volume breakout as the core criterion for adding and holding positions. Without volume confirmation, decisive stop-loss is necessary, making risk control the top priority.

Recent off-chain data and on-chain observations indicate that the crypto market has shaken off prolonged weakness, with trading volume and capital flows showing marginal improvements. During this period, bullish sentiment is gradually returning, but additional volume and upward momentum are needed to confirm a true reversal. For HOBBES, prices have recently remained in a consolidation range, repeatedly supported by buyers near key levels; if overall market sentiment continues to improve, HOBBES is likely to be among the first to break out and start a new upward move.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Against the backdrop of major bull-bear cycles, adhering to trend-following investment principles is particularly important. Value-oriented investors focus more on macro and industry fundamentals, while trend investors emphasize medium- and long-term price momentum. For HOBBES, if both sector capital flows and project advancement continue to improve, this can be seen as a dual signal of value and trend, jointly driving sustained price appreciation. Conversely, caution is needed to guard against model-driven short-term speculation leading to corrections.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

As some shorts begin to stop out and exit, the market may experience a phase of short squeeze rallies, driving rapid price rebounds. However, such short covering often comes with high volatility and may not be sustainable. Trading strategies should involve deploying small positions in batches near major resistance, and after a breakout, decide on additions based on volume expansion; if there is no volume confirmation, stop-loss and exit actions should be timely, with strict drawdown control.

Hobbes [OLD]

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