LOOP is currently in the early phase of market sentiment recovery. In the short term, close attention should be paid to trading volume and liquidity incentive measures, with caution against reversal risks caused by insufficient volume. Due to limited market-making depth and pressure from capital diversion, investors are advised to cautiously build positions in the lower 2.3-2.7 USDT range in batches, only increasing allocations after the overall market surges past key resistance levels. From a trend investing perspective, if LOOP breaks through short-term highs along with the market, holding positions and dynamically adjusting profit-taking strategies can effectively capture medium- to long-term growth opportunities.

In recent days, the overall market has shown initial signs of recovery. Major indices and mainstream tokens are maintaining a mild short-term upward tempo, while multiple low-volume doji candlesticks on the charts indicate a tug-of-war at key levels. This phase offers LOOP a chance for short-term sentiment repair, but trading volume has yet to expand significantly. Investors should remain cautious, only increasing positions when volume shows sustainable support, thus guarding against sudden reversals.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

In an order book-driven market, market makers’ position management and subsidy policies have become central to liquidity levels. Leading platforms and professional institutions further consolidate liquidity through incentives and risk hedging, while new small-scale projects and tokens face considerable capital diversion pressure. As a relatively niche protocol token, LOOP may be weighed down in the short term by insufficient market-making depth and activity. Investors should watch for further liquidity incentives or collaborations from the project team to enhance market depth.

The article discusses the challenges of market making in prediction markets, highlighting that less than 10% survive until year-end. Unlike AMM-based markets, prediction markets rely on order book models with higher operational complexity, inventory risk, and volatile, jumpy price movements driven by discrete events. Successful market making requires advanced strategies and risk management, often beyond ordinary users' capabilities. Leading platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi invest heavily in liquidity subsidies, creating strong barriers for new entrants and reinforcing dominant players.

Prediction markets are tough: less than 10% may actually survive until the end of the year.

Trend investing emphasizes participation during bull markets and profit-taking during bear markets. Although it's difficult to perfectly time tops and bottoms, success rates can be improved through staged scaling in and out. Currently, LOOP is repeatedly consolidating near its phase bottom. If the overall market continues to move higher and breaks key resistance levels, it can serve as a trend confirmation signal, providing an opportunity to participate and share in medium- to long-term upside potential. Position holders should set reasonable profit-taking targets, dynamically track macro and project updates, and balance market risks with personal growth expectations.

Looping Collective

The market is focused on the Federal Reserve's assessment of rising inflation and its policy path.

Reminder: Please pay close attention to the following (all times are in Beijing time).

Australia’s inflation remained above the Reserve Bank’s 2-3% target band as higher fuel costs from Middle East supply disruptions compounded already-elevated price pressures to keep policymakers on a tightening path.

Uncertainty around the economic outlook and a leadership transition at the US central bank loom large over this week’s meeting of Federal Reserve officials, who are expected to leave interest rates unchanged on Wednesday.

Economists: The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged, waiting for changes in employment and inflation.

Mexico’s central bank will consider one more interest rate cut at its May meeting that may bring an end to the easing cycle it started two years ago, Governor Victoria Rodriguez Ceja said.

The Fed is set to hold rates in what’s likely Powell’s last meeting as chair - then it’ll be Kevin Warsh’s turn in what has become a political hotseat under Donald Trump

UAE Quits OPEC After 59 Years, BTC Slides Below $76K Amid Hormuz Supply Shock

Iran launches airstrikes on US bases in Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar

Ukrainian drone attack ignites Tuapse oil refinery, escalating energy strikes

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