After FORM experienced sharp short-term volatility, it returned to the $0.25–$0.27 range, reflecting a temporary equilibrium between bulls and bears. The $0.27–$0.29 range has formed significant resistance, with $0.25 as a key support. Currently, FORM’s price action is highly sensitive to Bitcoin’s stability at the $75,000 level. If Bitcoin fails to consolidate effectively, FORM may continue oscillating within the range with downside risks. Conversely, if Bitcoin breaks out and holds above $80,000, market risk appetite will be significantly boosted, paving the way for FORM to break the $0.30 barrier. It is recommended to closely monitor Bitcoin’s performance at critical technical levels, avoid chasing highs, and patiently wait for a breakout signal accompanied by increased volume.

On April 14, Bitcoin broke through $74,000 and approached the critical 'volatility release point' at $75,000, which amplified the negative gamma effects in derivatives and led to increased overall market volatility over a short period. That same day, FORM opened and quickly spiked to around $0.2993, but bullish momentum rapidly waned in the afternoon, with the price pulling back to about $0.253. A long upper shadow formed on the daily K-line chart, indicating heavy profit-taking at higher levels. This movement shows that while macro momentum was being unleashed, FORM was highly sensitive to market sentiment, creating two-way short-term risks of both surges and pullbacks.

In the subsequent days, FORM made two attempts to rebound, peaking near $0.2889 on April 16–17, yet trading volume failed to match the surge on April 14, signaling insufficient buying strength. After an intraday rally above $0.3275 was reversed on April 18, the price quickly retreated and began oscillating in a narrow range between $0.25–$0.27, with trading volume continuing to shrink, indicating a temporary balance between bulls and bears. Technically, the $0.27–$0.29 region has become a strong resistance zone while the $0.25 level is offering short-term support. Bulls need new catalysts for a robust rally to resume.

Currently, FORM’s short-term trend is highly reliant on Bitcoin’s stability around the $75,000 level. If Bitcoin cannot maintain this 'volatility release point,' overall market sentiment could revert to caution, thereby suppressing FORM’s attempts to retest the highs. Conversely, if Bitcoin breaks out and consolidates above the $80,000–$80,600 positive gamma zone, volatility may subside and risk appetite could recover. This would offer FORM a medium-term bottoming opportunity and help it gradually test resistance at $0.30. Throughout this process, investors should focus on whether Bitcoin can effectively break through and hold key moving average levels.

Makeform

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Hammack: The Federal Reserve's baseline scenario is that interest rates will remain unchanged.

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