Constrained by tightening macro liquidity and geopolitical uncertainty, MIRA remains range-bound between $0.081 and $0.086 in the short term, with low trading volume and limited market risk appetite. Technically, the $0.072–$0.075 region serves as a stage bottom; only with a firm hold above $0.077 accompanied by increased volume can a test above $0.083 be expected. Otherwise, attention should be paid to the $0.072 support. In the medium to long term, clearer regulations and institutional capital inflows are positive for asset value, but user growth in Asia remains constrained. It is recommended to watch changes in bottom-region positions, remain cautious in the short term, and focus on fundamentals and compliance progress for potential upside in the medium to long term.

The recent macro environment remains under pressure, with multiple factors suppressing market liquidity and leading to more cautious risk appetite. Bitcoin lacks a directional breakout at high levels and shows clear range-bound trading, a pattern reflected in MIRA contracts as well. Since March 8, overall trading volume has shrunk, with closes consolidating between $0.081 and $0.086, and obvious short-term tug-of-war between bulls and bears. In addition to the combined pressures of energy prices and monetary policy, heightened geopolitical uncertainty has further increased investor wait-and-see sentiment, preventing MIRA from establishing a clear unidirectional trend.

Bitcoin remains in a narrow trading range amid constrained macro liquidity and unclear price direction. Multiple pressures from energy prices, monetary policy, and geopolitical risks compress market liquidity, leading to a cautious stance. Technical support lies between $67,000-$69,000, with resistance near $72,000. Without increased demand, the market is expected to stay range-bound, awaiting a breakout influenced by macroeconomic data, policy signals, and geopolitical developments.

Analysis: Bitcoin is stuck in a narrow range, macro liquidity is constrained, and the market is waiting for a directional breakout.

In March, the macro environment was generally bearish with the Fed maintaining rates but signaling hawkishness amid sticky inflation, rising oil prices, and weakening employment, raising stagflation concerns and delaying rate cut expectations. The US stock market weakened due to tariff uncertainties and geopolitical risks, pressuring risk assets. Crypto markets saw pulse-like volume spikes but lacked sustained momentum; BTC and ETH spot ETFs shifted from outflows to inflows, reflecting cautious risk appetite recovery. Regulatory clarity improved as SEC and CFTC classified 16 major digital assets as commodities, easing institutional entry barriers. BlackRock launched an Ethereum staking ETF, marking a shift toward yield-generating crypto products. Security incidents highlighted growing risks in off-chain infrastructure and key management. April is critical for crypto regulation with the CLARITY Act's progress and Ethereum's major upgrade testing, alongside Fed leadership changes, all influencing market direction.

BitMart VIP Insights: March Crypto Market Review and Hotspot Analysis

On the daily chart, MIRA found short-term support after dipping to the $0.072–$0.075 region at the end of March and has made multiple attempts to rebound, but failed to break the $0.081–$0.083 resistance band. Trading volume has seen some increase but remains below the mid-March highs, indicating that buying and selling enthusiasm hasn't yet strengthened significantly. Current prices are forming a bottom around $0.074; if MIRA can stabilize above $0.077 with higher volume, it could further test resistance at $0.083. Otherwise, if it breaks down, the effectiveness of the $0.072 support level should be watched.

Recently, regulators have become clearer in the classification of major digital assets, with leading US and European agencies classifying various mainstream tokens as commodities, facilitating institutional entry. The approval of Ethereum staking ETFs further highlights rising investor demand for derivative yield products. With the macro rate path possibly delaying a turn and further improvements in legislative frameworks, long-term allocation intentions may rise, and as an emerging project, MIRA may draw more attention from compliant capital.

Research on the Asian market shows that regulatory uncertainty, security risks, tax burdens, and usage thresholds still restrict new user entries. MIRA’s recognition and trustworthiness in the Asia-Pacific region remain to be improved. By strengthening localized communication, offering transparent products, and ensuring technological security, participation barriers can be gradually lowered, building potential buy-side demand for the next bull market.

Tiger Research's report analyzes the decline of retail cryptocurrency investors despite rapid market growth, focusing on nine major Asian markets. It identifies five core barriers—regulatory uncertainty, security risks, tax burdens, usability challenges, and social perception—that hinder new user adoption. The report details diverse regulatory and market conditions across Northeast and Southeast Asia, examines exchange strategies for user acquisition, and highlights the need for localized education, transparency, and trust-building before the next crypto bull market.

Tiger Research: Analysis of the Current Status of Retail Investors in Nine Major Asian Markets

Mira

Market Holds Steady; US Jobs Data Exceeds Expectations

Crypto Market Remains Range-Bound; US Jobs Report Exceeds Expectations

Institutions: The stronger-than-expected rebound in March non-farm payrolls demonstrates the resilience of the US labor market, with inflation currently being the core variable in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

Huatai Securities: March Nonfarm Payroll Data Reflects Resilience of the US Job Market, Inflation Becomes the Core Variable in Fed Policy

Crypto traders fade 2026 Fed cuts as U.S. unemployment dips, but risk assets hold bid

The IMF calls on the Bank of Japan to continue raising interest rates.

The Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates twice this year to support the labor market.

CICC: Investment demand and prices for gold may both have room for upward correction.

Stronger, broader hiring could ease Fed job market worries

Fed's Daly: The Federal Reserve should focus on the employment rate rather than employment data.

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