Recently, UB experienced a short-term surge driven by expectations of a US-Iran ceasefire, but due to a lack of sustained positive factors, it quickly retraced significantly. The daily chart shows a bearish structure, with the $0.0225–$0.0250 range now representing major resistance and $0.0205–$0.0210 acting as key support. In the short term, a defensive approach is recommended, with strict monitoring of the effectiveness of the lower support and avoiding chasing highs. In the medium to long term, attention should be given to the progress of peace talks and changes in trading volume. If market risk appetite stabilizes and rises, UB may usher in a new round of intermediate rebounds.

On March 25, expectations of a US-Iran ceasefire triggered a global improvement in risk appetite. Bitcoin briefly approached the $72,000 mark, and UB saw an intraday gain of over 17%, swiftly climbing from $0.03246 to $0.03641 with trading volume surging sharply. This volatility reflected the market's short-term enthusiasm for macro-level peace expectations, but in the absence of continued positive developments, bullish momentum could not be sustained, resulting in a notable pullback the next day.

From the daily movement between March 26 and April 2, UB fell sharply from a high of $0.03797, displaying a consecutive downtrend, with the 5-day and 10-day moving averages showing a clear downward inclination. The long bearish candle on March 30 broke below $0.02549, further dipping to $0.02146, which saw concentrated selling pressure and significantly increased trading volume multiple times in a single day. Currently, the $0.0225–$0.0250 range has turned into a major short-term resistance zone, while $0.0205–$0.0210 forms the main recent support.

In the short term, UB needs to be cautious of fluctuating sentiment driven by macro expectations. Without sustained trading volume or further substantive positive developments, it will be difficult for bulls to regain initiative. A defensive strategy with staged buying on dips is advised, focusing especially on the validity of the $0.0205–$0.0210 support area. For the medium to long term, waiting for the actualization of peace expectations and fundamental project developments is necessary. If market risk appetite stabilizes and boosts the risk asset rotation, UB may have an opportunity for a second round of intermediate rebound.

Unibase

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

Bybit-eu

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Unibase Price: UB Live Price Today | UB Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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UB price today is 0.04, with a live price change of 19.75 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade UB on Bybit-eu.

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