COINYE is currently in the early stage of market sentiment recovery. Although short-term volatility is narrowing, oscillation risks remain. It is advised to set strict stop-loss levels and focus on the support and resistance in the 1.15-1.22 range. The negative premium in the US market reflects limited risk appetite, but short-term platform arbitrage opportunities may arise. Pay attention to changes in liquidity. In the medium and long term, global liquidity is easing and institutions are significantly increasing their holdings in digital assets. If COINYE can continue to advance ecosystem development and governance optimization, it is expected to achieve value revaluation during the main uptrend. Consider low-level, phased purchases and closely monitor macro and regulatory changes.

Recently, the Fear and Greed Index has shifted from deep panic territory to neutrality, while the global digital asset market value has grown by over 5% week-on-week, accompanied by escalating institutional layouts in Asian markets—indicating marginal improvement in liquidity. Within this environment, COINYE’s market sentiment is gradually shifting from 'panic selling' to 'bottom fishing,' though short-term volatility may narrow, investors should still remain vigilant against repeated oscillations before a clear trend confirmation emerges.

According to ChainCatcher and Coinglass data, the current cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index stands at 26, down 4 points from yesterday, indicating a state of fear. The 7-day average is 24, and the 30-day average is 22.

Data: The current Crypto Fear & Greed Index is 26, indicating a state of fear.

According to ChainCatcher and Coinglass data, the current cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index is 45, indicating a state of fear. This is an increase of 18 points from yesterday. The 7-day average is 27, and the 30-day average is 23.

Data: The current Crypto Fear & Greed Index is 45, indicating a state of fear.

The global cryptocurrency market capitalization reached $3.22 trillion this week, up approximately 5.23% from last week's $3.06 trillion.

CoinW Research Institute Weekly Report (2025.12.29 - 2026.1.4)

QCP's market analysis on January 5 highlights a strengthening crypto market in Asia, with Bitcoin and Ethereum surpassing $92,000 and $3,100 respectively, driven by US actions in Venezuela, year-end tax-loss trading, and rising crypto legislation expectations. Speculation about Venezuela holding significant "shadow Bitcoin reserves" and using USDT in oil trades could make it a major sovereign BTC holder. Options data show a bullish shift, with increased call options and straddle strategies indicating short covering and bets on upward volatility.

QCP: Venezuela Situation and Options Funding Resonance Strengthen Bullish Expectations in the Crypto Market

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Negative premiums for Bitcoin on major US trading platforms persist, showing strong local selling pressure and limited risk appetite, but also increasing cross-chain and cross-platform arbitrage opportunities. For COINYE, short-term focus should be on price differences across platforms while monitoring changes in market depth to capture profit potential from price arbitrage and passive position replenishments.

Coinbase's Bitcoin premium index has been negative for 20 consecutive days, currently at -0.0413%, indicating that Bitcoin prices on Coinbase are below the global average. This index reflects US market capital flows, institutional investment enthusiasm, and market sentiment. A negative premium suggests increased selling pressure, reduced investor risk appetite, heightened market caution, or capital outflows in the US market.

Data: Coinbase Bitcoin premium index has been in negative premium for 20 consecutive days, currently at -0.0413%.

According to Coinglass data reported by ChainCatcher, the Coinbase Bitcoin premium index has turned negative again, currently at -0.0277%. This index measures the price difference of Bitcoin on Coinbase compared to the global average, indicating market sentiment and institutional investment activity in the US. A negative premium suggests increased selling pressure, reduced risk appetite, and heightened market caution in the US.

Data: Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index turns negative again, currently at -0.0277%

At the start of the year, the crypto market saw a rare upward breakthrough with BTC surpassing $90,000 and major altcoins like ETH and SOL rising. Several altcoins, including PEPE and IP, surged over 20%. However, key indicators show the market is still in a "price repair" phase with overall market cap below previous highs, a low altseason index, and fear-dominated sentiment. While some view this as a buying opportunity amid improving liquidity and macroeconomic developments, caution remains advised.

Speculation sentiment rises again at the beginning of the year, is the altcoin season repeating?

With expectations for global macro liquidity easing becoming more concrete, mainstream asset managers are increasing digital asset holdings, derivative markets are ramping up bullish positions, and stablecoin market cap has surpassed critical milestones, shifting industry pricing power towards crypto assets. If COINYE can continuously enhance governance, application development, and ecosystem growth, it will capture structural opportunities in the next wave of capital inflows.

Goldman Sachs has upgraded Coinbase's stock rating from "neutral" to "buy" and raised the 12-month target price from $294 to $303. Analyst James Yaro highlighted Coinbase's shift from cyclical to structural growth, with subscription and services revenue expected to grow from 5% in 2020 to 40% by 2025, maintaining a 13% annual growth rate from 2025 to 2027. Expansion in custody, stablecoins, staking, and prime brokerage is expected to reduce earnings volatility.

Goldman Sachs upgrades Coinbase stock rating to Buy.

Coinye West

Global markets are fretting about growth due to the war in Iran. A slowdown is something stocks can handle. However, the risk that the global economy tips the wrong way is also increasing.

Fed's Musalem: The current interest rate setting remains appropriate

BoE's Bailey: Markets getting ahead of themselves by pricing in rate hikes – Reuters

Exclusive: Bank of England's Bailey says investors should not count on UK rate hikes

What Friday's high-profile US jobs report means for Bitcoin price

Is the Middle East war really coming to an end?

Eurozone: Inflation sparks ECB rate repricing – DBS

Bitunix Analyst: Employment Cooling Combined with Further Energy Contraction, War Spillover to Tech Infrastructure, Market Enters "Risk Pricing Distortion" Phase

Goldman Sachs: Fed's rate hike expectations remain low for the year

Fed's Mussa: Iran war energy shock will comprehensively push up inflation

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