IBETH is currently in the early stage of market sentiment recovery. Recently, institutional liquidity and initial macro-positive effects have emerged, with funds continuously testing entry. Based on trend investment logic, it is recommended to focus on key support levels and ETF fund inflow rhythms in the short term. Before a significant breakdown below previous lows (such as the 2.0 level), adopt a batch deployment strategy, moderately increase positions when the trend is confirmed, and take phased profits to control drawdown. The overall outlook is moderately bullish and neutral—focus on upward opportunities after trend confirmation, and guard against volatility risks caused by fluctuating market sentiment.

Recent on-chain data and market analysis indicate that the cryptocurrency market is currently in the early stage of sentiment recovery. Although the overall trend has not been fully established, some funds have begun tentative entry at lower levels, driving short-term price oscillations upwards. For IBETH, further recovery in overall risk appetite may intensify short-term volatility and attract speculative buying. However, caution is still needed, as lingering market hesitancy could lead to repeated fluctuations.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Trend investing principles suggest increasing positions during bull markets and adopting a defensive stance during bear markets. Although it is difficult to precisely grasp the lowest and highest points, with macro and sectoral positives gradually materializing, IBETH can serve as a target for trend-following allocation. Investors can employ position management and phased profit-taking strategies by entering in batches after trend confirmation, thus capturing upside potential while managing drawdown risk.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

Over the past week, spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen sustained net inflows, and leading ETFs have shown increased capital activity, reflecting a growing willingness of institutions to allocate to bottom assets. While IBETH is not a spot Bitcoin ETF, the overall improvement in liquidity is expected to facilitate valuation recovery for core assets including IBETH. It is necessary to monitor the timing of large capital entries and their impact on IBETH's holding costs and premium rates, and strategically follow capital flows in deploying positions.

Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas reported that ETF assets under management reached a record $1.48 trillion in 2025, a 28% increase from the previous year. BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF IBIT managed approximately $248.44 billion, ranking sixth. However, due to Bitcoin's poor performance last year, IBIT was the only top 15 ETF with a negative annual return of -6.41%.

Bloomberg Analyst: ETF Assets Under Management to Reach $1.48 Trillion in 2025, IBIT Ranks Sixth

According to SoSoValue data, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net inflow of $459 million last week (Dec 29 to Jan 2). BlackRock's IBIT led with a $324 million inflow, totaling $62.38 billion historically. Fidelity's FBTC followed with $106 million last week and $12.2 billion total inflow. Grayscale's GBTC had the largest outflow of $53.67 million last week, with a total outflow of $25.24 billion. Bitcoin spot ETFs' total net asset value reached $116.95 billion, representing 6.53% of Bitcoin's market cap, with cumulative net inflows of $57.08 billion.

Data: Bitcoin spot ETFs had a net inflow of $459 million last week, with BlackRock IBIT leading at a net inflow of $324 million.

Interest Bearing ETH

Market Holds Steady; US Jobs Data Exceeds Expectations

Crypto Market Remains Range-Bound; US Jobs Report Exceeds Expectations

Institutions: The stronger-than-expected rebound in March non-farm payrolls demonstrates the resilience of the US labor market, with inflation currently being the core variable in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

Huatai Securities: March Nonfarm Payroll Data Reflects Resilience of the US Job Market, Inflation Becomes the Core Variable in Fed Policy

Crypto traders fade 2026 Fed cuts as U.S. unemployment dips, but risk assets hold bid

The IMF calls on the Bank of Japan to continue raising interest rates.

The Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates twice this year to support the labor market.

CICC: Investment demand and prices for gold may both have room for upward correction.

Stronger, broader hiring could ease Fed job market worries

Fed's Daly: The Federal Reserve should focus on the employment rate rather than employment data.

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